TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$31.16
1.49 (5.02%)
▲
5d:
-7.32%
30d:
-4.91%
90d:
+15.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.14
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.17
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $31.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.65 to $34.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.9) is in line with its historical norms (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 671.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.88 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.88 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.65 -
$34.71
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($34.88)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.65 -
$34.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.36
Resistance Level
$36.86
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.86
Wall Street Target
$34.88
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
671.1%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.9 vs 10.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.07
(0%)
2-Year Target
$30.97
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$30.88
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$31.00
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$79.38
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$39.57
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$33.63
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
Bull Case
$21.43
(-31%)
Analyst growth -34.3%, PE expands to 7.5
Base Case
$19.49
(-38%)
Market implied -34.3%, PE stable at 6.8
Bear Case
$20.18
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.9 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.28
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gianoni
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-24
Lake Lp Lynrock
SELL
61990 shares
2026-02-11
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