TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$27.69
0.12 (0.44%)
▲
5d:
+0.04%
30d:
+0.04%
90d:
-15.5%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.97
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $27.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.12 to $31.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (10.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 433.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.30, while resistance sits at $28.91.
Market Sentiment: TDC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.30, while resistance sits at $28.91.
Market Sentiment: TDC scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$27.12 -
$31.30
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($34.00)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.12 -
$31.30
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.30
Resistance Level
$28.91
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.47
Wall Street Target
$34.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
433.3%
Profit Margin
27.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$25.09
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$23.94
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$27.56
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 7.5%)
$72.62
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.5%)
$34.25
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 7.5%)
$29.12
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.65
Bull Case
$19.22
(-31%)
Analyst growth -37.4%, PE expands to 6.6
Base Case
$17.47
(-37%)
Market implied -37.4%, PE stable at 6.0
Bear Case
$18.97
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.9
Stabilization Target:
$31.74
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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