TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$32.09
1.10 (3.55%)
▲
5d:
+7.72%
30d:
-7.15%
90d:
+14.77%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.89
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $32.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.53 to $34.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 671.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.62 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.54. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.62 (+15.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$29.53 -
$34.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.62)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.53 -
$34.52
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.61
Resistance Level
$32.54
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.73
Wall Street Target
$35.63
(+15.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
671.1%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.74
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$30.50
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$30.25
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$31.01
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$76.16
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$39.43
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$33.51
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.36
Bull Case
$22.27
(-28%)
Analyst growth -33.8%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case
$20.24
(-35%)
Market implied -33.8%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case
$20.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$31.77
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gianoni
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-24
Lake Lp Lynrock
SELL
61990 shares
2026-02-11
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