TERADATA (TDC) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$30.14
0.22 (0.74%)
▲
5d:
+4.15%
30d:
+6.65%
90d:
-17.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: TDC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.58
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $30.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.89 to $29.45. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 433.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $30.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $33.50 (+11.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$27.89 -
$29.45
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($33.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$27.89 -
$29.45
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.97
Resistance Level
$30.38
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.35
Wall Street Target
$33.50
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
433.3%
Profit Margin
27.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.4 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.75
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$29.36
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$28.98
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$30.24
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.5%)
$73.81
(+145%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.3, Growth: 7.5%)
$37.45
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.8, Growth: 7.5%)
$31.83
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.93
Bull Case
$19.44
(-36%)
Analyst growth -40.9%, PE expands to 6.7
Base Case
$17.67
(-41%)
Market implied -40.9%, PE stable at 6.1
Bear Case
$20.35
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.3 to 10.8
Stabilization Target:
$31.45
(+4.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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