UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$84.02
-1.42 (-1.66%)
▼
5d:
-0.74%
30d:
+4.27%
90d:
-6.0%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.78
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.25
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $84.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.01 to $84.29. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.3) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$80.01 -
$84.29
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($103.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.01 -
$84.29
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.49
Resistance Level
$84.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.28
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$82.68
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$81.35
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$80.05
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$83.84
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$203.43
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.3, Growth: 19.3%)
$142.68
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 19.3%)
$121.28
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.59
Bull Case
$112.62
(+34%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$102.38
(+22%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$58.10
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.3 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$88.00
(+4.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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