UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$84.03
-0.52 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-1.65%
30d:
-0.49%
90d:
-13.1%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
14d
Get Alerted When UFPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UFPI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.78
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.25
10.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $84.03, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.53 to $89.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$82.53 -
$89.20
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($103.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.53 -
$89.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.49
Resistance Level
$84.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.37
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$83.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$82.20
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$81.05
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→16)
$84.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$203.43
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 19.3%)
$143.58
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 19.3%)
$122.04
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.48 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.59
Bull Case
$111.80
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 20.3
Base Case
$101.64
(+20%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$57.68
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 16.0
Stabilization Target:
$88.00
(+4.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Top Rated Lumber & Wood Production Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Lumber & Wood Production by analyst ratings.
