UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$91.68
4.94 (5.70%)
▲
5d:
+3.93%
30d:
+2.79%
90d:
+7.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UFPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UFPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$168.84
Based on 13.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.84
12.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $91.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.59 to $90.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.4) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $92.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $102.00 (+11.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$84.59 -
$90.15
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($102.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 2.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.59 -
$90.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.93
Resistance Level
$92.94
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.39
Wall Street Target
$102.00
(+11.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.9%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
16.4 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$92.97
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$93.62
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$91.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 23.5%)
$218.14
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.4, Growth: 23.5%)
$172.50
(+88%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 23.5%)
$146.63
(+60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.38
Bull Case
$121.83
(+33%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$110.75
(+21%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 19.8
Bear Case
$58.98
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 10:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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