WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$25.26
0.23 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
+5.65%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
+5.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $25.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.23 to $24.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 37.6) compared to its historical average (50.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 96.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.09 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $25.68. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.09 (+24.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$23.23 -
$24.74
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($31.09)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.23 -
$24.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.16
Resistance Level
$25.68
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.62
Wall Street Target
$31.09
(+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
96.6%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
37.6 vs 50.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.63
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.45
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$18.49
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→51)
$25.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.6, Growth: 133.8%)
$84.48
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 133.8%)
$46.55
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 133.8%)
$39.57
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (44x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case
$31.85
(+27%)
Analyst growth 23.2%, PE expands to 47.9
Base Case
$28.96
(+16%)
Market implied 23.2%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$15.98
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 37.6 to 50.9
Stabilization Target:
$33.87
(+35.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:09 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
James Calvin O'rourke
BUY
4000 shares
2026-02-20
Richard Beckwitt
BUY
20000 shares
2026-02-19
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