VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$7.81
1.47 (23.19%)
▲
5d:
+34.42%
30d:
+25.56%
90d:
+81.63%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VNCE is 16.4% above its trading range ($6.71). Market expects 21.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VNCE is 16.4% above its trading range ($6.71). Market expects 21.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.41
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $7.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.95 to $6.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 24.4) compared to its historical average (13.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 21.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $8.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 23.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $8.10. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 23.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+15.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.95 -
$6.71
Company Quality Score
40/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.4% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+23.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 21.8% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.95 -
$6.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.76
Resistance Level
$8.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.41
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+21.8% premium
PE vs Historical
24.4 vs 13.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+21.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.51
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$11.59
(+48%)
3-Year Target
$14.11
(+81%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.81
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.4, Growth: 33.3%)
$18.51
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.22
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.5, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.24
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case
$3.49
(-55%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$3.17
(-59%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case
$4.31
(-45%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 27, 2026 9:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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