VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$6.30
0.05 (0.80%)
â˛
5d:
+1.78%
30d:
+6.15%
90d:
+49.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VNCE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 13.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: VNCE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 13.7% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.35
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $6.30, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.02 to $6.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $6.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+42.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.76, while resistance sits at $6.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.00 (+42.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$6.02 -
$6.58
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($9.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 13.7% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.02 -
$6.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.76
Resistance Level
$6.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.69
Wall Street Target
$9.00
(+42.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.7% premium
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 13.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.16
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$8.14
(+29%)
3-Year Target
$9.26
(+47%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.21
(+141%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 33.3%)
$14.93
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.16
(+61%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case
$3.44
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 9.8
Base Case
$3.13
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 8.9
Bear Case
$4.25
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 9:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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