VNCE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$4.35
-0.20 (-4.40%)
▼
5d:
+3.82%
30d:
-16.83%
90d:
+51.57%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 16, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNCE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VNCE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $4.35, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.16 to $4.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.03, while resistance sits at $4.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+55.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.03, while resistance sits at $4.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.75 (+55.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$4.16 -
$4.88
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 55.2% below Wall St target ($6.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.0% growth with 4.7% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.16 -
$4.88
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.03
Resistance Level
$4.65
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.59
Wall Street Target
$6.75
(+55.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
13.6 vs 10.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.78
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$5.26
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$5.79
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$16.62
(+282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.31
(+137%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 33.3%)
$7.74
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$3.01
(-30%)
Analyst growth -34.7%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case
$2.74
(-36%)
Market implied -34.7%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case
$2.85
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Eugenia Ulasewicz
SELL
11322 shares
2025-12-24
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