VINCE (VNCE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VNCE - VINCE HOLDING CORP.
$8.30
0.64 (8.43%)
▲
5d:
+27.42%
30d:
+31.67%
90d:
+65.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VNCE is 16.0% above its trading range ($7.15). Market expects 19.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: VNCE is 16.0% above its trading range ($7.15). Market expects 19.7% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.66
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VNCE is currently trading at $8.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.71 to $7.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.9) compared to its historical average (13.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 19.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VNCE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.70. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: VNCE scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.00 (+30.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.71 -
$7.15
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($10.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 19.7% growth with 10.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 40/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.71 -
$7.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.91
Resistance Level
$7.70
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.91
Wall Street Target
$10.00
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.0%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+19.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 13.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+19.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.16
(+20%)
2-Year Target
$10.96
(+43%)
3-Year Target
$13.12
(+72%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.63
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$18.13
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 33.3%)
$15.31
(+100%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: 33.3%)
$10.54
(+38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$3.18
(-58%)
Analyst growth -44.8%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$2.89
(-62%)
Market implied -44.8%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$3.56
(-53%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 15, 2026 11:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VNCE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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