Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
AVGO
$375.81
🟢
AVGO IV: 42.8% — LOW (-21.5% vs 30d avg of 54.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $395 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

72d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $345 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $13.84 · Δ -0.28
P&L at Expiry Now $376 Target $395 $263 $376 $489
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If AVGO hits $395 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$1,384 (4.2%) on $-1,384 credit (max loss $33,116), vs +$1,919 (5.1%) for 100 shares on $37,581. Options give 0.8× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AVGO is at $395. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if AVGO hits $395 by Dec 18
+$1,384
+4.2% on $33,116 max loss
Max Profit
+$1,384
If the stock ≥ $345 at expiry
Max Loss
−$33,116
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$331.16
-11.88% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
27.88 / 15.42 / -56.07
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
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📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

AVGO Price Today Oct 31 Nov 24 Dec 18 (exp)
$301 (-20%) -$3,675 -$3,415 -$3,145 -$3,051
$319 (-15%) -$2,435 -$2,076 -$1,628 -$1,172
$338 (-10%) -$1,416 -$996 -$434 +$707
$357 (-5%) -$611 -$178 +$396 +$1,384
$368 (-2%) -$223 +$197 +$732 +$1,384
$376 (0%) ← spot +$0 +$404 +$900 +$1,384
$383 (+2%) +$197 +$581 +$1,031 +$1,384
$395 (+5%) ← target +$456 +$802 +$1,174 +$1,384
$413 (+10%) +$765 +$1,044 +$1,298 +$1,384
$432 (+15%) +$983 +$1,194 +$1,352 +$1,384
$451 (+20%) +$1,129 +$1,282 +$1,373 +$1,384
Uses AVGO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.