Target Price Playground
CPRT
$30.13
๐ข
CPRT IV: 35.1% โ LOW
(-22.8% vs 30d avg of 45.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $34 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $30.13 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CPRT hits $34 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$387 (12.8%) on $3,013 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CPRT hits $34 by Dec 18
+$387
+12.8% on $3,013 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,013
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$30.13
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CPRT Price | Today | Nov 30 | Dec 30 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $24 (-20%) | -$603 | -$603 | -$603 |
| $26 (-15%) | -$452 | -$452 | -$452 |
| $27 (-10%) | -$301 | -$301 | -$301 |
| $29 (-5%) | -$151 | -$151 | -$151 |
| $30 (-2%) | -$60 | -$60 | -$60 |
| $30 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $31 (+2%) | +$60 | +$60 | +$60 |
| $32 (+5%) | +$151 | +$151 | +$151 |
| $33 (+10%) | +$301 | +$301 | +$301 |
| $34 (+13%) โ target | +$387 | +$387 | +$387 |
| $35 (+15%) | +$452 | +$452 | +$452 |
| $36 (+20%) | +$603 | +$603 | +$603 |
Uses CPRT's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.