Target Price Playground
CSCO
$115.99
๐ข
CSCO IV: 37.7% โ LOW
(-43.5% vs 30d avg of 66.7%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $130 by Sep 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $115 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $8.63 ยท ฮ 0.56
SHORT CALL ยท $125 ยท Sep '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.55 ยท ฮ 0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If CSCO hits $130 by Sep 18: the bull call spread returns +$592 (145.1%) on $408 risked, vs +$1,401 (12.1%) for 100 shares on $11,599. Options give 12.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Sep 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if CSCO is at $130. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if CSCO hits $130 by Sep 18
+$592
+145.1% on $408 risked
Max Profit
+$592
If the stock โฅ $125 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$408
Net debit
Break-even
$119.08
+2.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
43%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
19.44 / -0.7 / 1.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| CSCO Price | Today | Aug 17 | Sep 2 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $93 (-20%) | -$364 | -$388 | -$406 | -$408 |
| $99 (-15%) | -$314 | -$351 | -$393 | -$408 |
| $104 (-10%) | -$235 | -$279 | -$347 | -$408 |
| $110 (-5%) | -$132 | -$168 | -$238 | -$408 |
| $114 (-2%) | -$61 | -$85 | -$138 | -$408 |
| $116 (0%) โ spot | -$11 | -$26 | -$61 | -$309 |
| $118 (+2%) | +$39 | +$35 | +$22 | -$77 |
| $122 (+5%) | +$113 | +$126 | +$149 | +$271 |
| $128 (+10%) | +$230 | +$266 | +$335 | +$592 |
| $130 (+12%) โ target | +$274 | +$317 | +$396 | +$592 |
| $133 (+15%) | +$331 | +$380 | +$464 | +$592 |
| $139 (+20%) | +$411 | +$463 | +$537 | +$592 |
Uses CSCO's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.