CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$122.27
0.74 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
+3.44%
90d:
+55.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.38
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $122.27, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.15 to $123.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (19.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $124.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$117.15 -
$123.96
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.05)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$117.15 -
$123.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$116.50
Resistance Level
$124.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.44
Wall Street Target
$127.05
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.1% premium
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 19.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$132.59
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$144.65
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$157.82
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$169.27
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$144.89
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$123.16
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$209.35
(+72%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$190.32
(+57%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 39.9
Bear Case
$81.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSCO price and gamma walls.
