CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$112.20
3.44 (3.16%)
▲
5d:
+5.15%
30d:
+2.51%
90d:
-1.56%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.06
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $112.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.46 to $111.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (21.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSCO scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.16 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.23. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: CSCO scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $136.16 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$107.46 -
$111.12
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($136.16)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 11% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$107.46 -
$111.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$104.51
Resistance Level
$112.23
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.40
Wall Street Target
$136.16
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
20.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 21.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.35
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$120.66
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$125.12
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$158.09
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$137.85
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 12.1%)
$117.17
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.37 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.36
Bull Case
$170.76
(+52%)
Analyst growth 42.7%, PE expands to 35.6
Base Case
$155.24
(+38%)
Market implied 42.7%, PE stable at 32.4
Bear Case
$73.96
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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