CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$119.25
-2.06 (-1.70%)
βΌ
5d:
+4.62%
30d:
+0.38%
90d:
+45.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
29d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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6 traders called CSCO this week
86% bullish • 1 bearish
86% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
π‘ BUY OPPORTUNITY: CSCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.6% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$139.18
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.42
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $119.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.19 to $122.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.0) compared to its historical average (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $121.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$115.19 -
$122.73
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.18)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.6% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.19 -
$122.73
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.33
Resistance Level
$121.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.96
Wall Street Target
$127.18
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
25.0 vs 20.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$128.31
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$138.06
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$148.56
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25β20)
PE COMPRESSION
$119.01
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.0, Growth: 11.7%)
$166.13
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$144.94
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 11.7%)
$123.20
(+3%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 40.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.00
Bull Case
$212.47
(+78%)
Analyst growth 59.2%, PE expands to 44.5
Base Case
$193.15
(+62%)
Market implied 59.2%, PE stable at 40.4
Bear Case
$82.49
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 6:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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