CSCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSCO - Cisco Systems, Inc. Common Stock (DE)
$112.13
4.69 (4.37%)
▲
5d:
+3.24%
30d:
-9.48%
90d:
-7.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $109.69 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CSCO is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$147.36
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSCO is currently trading at $112.13, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.49 to $118.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.4) compared to its historical average (20.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.62 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSCO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.62 (+22.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$108.49 -
$118.44
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CSCO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 22.7% below Wall St target ($137.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (53/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.49 -
$118.44
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$107.36
Resistance Level
$112.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.38
Wall Street Target
$137.63
(+22.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
20.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
23.4 vs 20.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$116.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$121.05
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$125.77
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$112.42
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.4, Growth: 12.1%)
$158.00
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.1%)
$136.30
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 12.1%)
$115.85
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.27
Bull Case
$173.33
(+55%)
Analyst growth 46.7%, PE expands to 36.1
Base Case
$157.57
(+41%)
Market implied 46.7%, PE stable at 32.9
Bear Case
$73.06
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
Maria Elvira Salazar
BUY
2026-03-19
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Advanced CSCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CSCO price and gamma walls.
