Target Price Playground
LIN
$489.95
🟢
LIN IV: 23.4% — LOW
(-47.1% vs 30d avg of 44.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $550 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $490 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $18.8 · Δ 0.56
SHORT CALL · $530 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $7.3 · Δ 0.26
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $550 by Dec 18: the bull call spread returns +$2,850 (247.8%) on $1,150 risked, vs +$6,005 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $48,995. Options give 20.1× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $550. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $550 by Dec 18
+$2,850
+247.8% on $1,150 risked
Max Profit
+$2,850
If the stock ≥ $530 at expiry
Max Loss
−$1,150
Net debit
Break-even
$501.50
+2.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
24%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
29.69 / -3.1 / 23.7
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $392 (-20%) | -$1,118 | -$1,143 | -$1,150 | -$1,150 |
| $416 (-15%) | -$1,022 | -$1,101 | -$1,146 | -$1,150 |
| $441 (-10%) | -$777 | -$935 | -$1,098 | -$1,150 |
| $465 (-5%) | -$327 | -$518 | -$819 | -$1,150 |
| $480 (-2%) | +$37 | -$125 | -$423 | -$1,150 |
| $490 (0%) ← spot | +$306 | +$187 | -$51 | -$1,150 |
| $500 (+2%) | +$588 | +$522 | +$387 | -$175 |
| $514 (+5%) | +$1,012 | +$1,036 | +$1,089 | +$1,295 |
| $539 (+10%) | +$1,654 | +$1,799 | +$2,072 | +$2,850 |
| $550 (+12%) ← target | +$1,897 | +$2,069 | +$2,366 | +$2,850 |
| $563 (+15%) | +$2,144 | +$2,327 | +$2,600 | +$2,850 |
| $588 (+20%) | +$2,466 | +$2,620 | +$2,785 | +$2,850 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.