Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
LIN
$489.95
🟢
LIN IV: 23.4% — LOW (-47.1% vs 30d avg of 44.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $510 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

72d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $450 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $5.92 · Δ -0.18
P&L at Expiry Now $490 Target $510 $343 $490 $637
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If LIN hits $510 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$592 (1.3%) on $-592 credit (max loss $44,408), vs +$2,005 (4.1%) for 100 shares on $48,995. Options give 0.3× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $510. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if LIN hits $510 by Dec 18
+$592
+1.3% on $44,408 max loss
Max Profit
+$592
If the stock ≥ $450 at expiry
Max Loss
−$44,408
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$444.08
-9.36% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
18.28 / 9.41 / -53.5
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
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📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

LIN Price Today Oct 31 Nov 24 Dec 18 (exp)
$392 (-20%) -$5,048 -$5,043 -$5,091 -$5,212
$416 (-15%) -$3,068 -$2,918 -$2,769 -$2,762
$441 (-10%) -$1,536 -$1,273 -$917 -$313
$465 (-5%) -$506 -$232 +$126 +$592
$480 (-2%) -$104 +$132 +$404 +$592
$490 (0%) ← spot +$90 +$292 +$498 +$592
$500 (+2%) +$237 +$402 +$548 +$592
$510 (+4%) ← target +$350 +$478 +$574 +$592
$539 (+10%) +$518 +$569 +$591 +$592
$563 (+15%) +$568 +$587 +$592 +$592
$588 (+20%) +$585 +$591 +$592 +$592
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.