Target Price Playground
LIN
$489.95
🟢
LIN IV: 23.4% — LOW
(-47.1% vs 30d avg of 44.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $550 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $490 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $18.8 · Δ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $550 by Dec 18: the long call returns +$4,120 (219.1%) on $1,880 risked, vs +$6,005 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $48,995. Options give 17.8× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $550. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $550 by Dec 18
+$4,120
+219.1% on $1,880 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
−$1,880
Premium paid
Break-even
$508.80
+3.85% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
24%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
55.5 / -15.15 / 86.02
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $392 (-20%) | -$1,845 | -$1,873 | -$1,880 | -$1,880 |
| $416 (-15%) | -$1,728 | -$1,828 | -$1,876 | -$1,880 |
| $441 (-10%) | -$1,406 | -$1,636 | -$1,827 | -$1,880 |
| $465 (-5%) | -$733 | -$1,106 | -$1,529 | -$1,880 |
| $480 (-2%) | -$115 | -$546 | -$1,078 | -$1,880 |
| $490 (0%) ← spot | +$390 | -$58 | -$622 | -$1,880 |
| $500 (+2%) | +$970 | +$519 | -$39 | -$905 |
| $514 (+5%) | +$1,965 | +$1,540 | +$1,046 | +$565 |
| $539 (+10%) | +$3,907 | +$3,564 | +$3,230 | +$3,015 |
| $550 (+12%) ← target | +$4,870 | +$4,568 | +$4,296 | +$4,120 |
| $563 (+15%) | +$6,095 | +$5,837 | +$5,619 | +$5,464 |
| $588 (+20%) | +$8,425 | +$8,226 | +$8,060 | +$7,914 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.