Target Price Playground
LIN
$489.95
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.4% โ LOW
(-47.1% vs 30d avg of 44.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $550 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
72d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $489.95 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $550 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$6,005 (12.3%) on $48,995 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $550 by Dec 18
+$6,005
+12.3% on $48,995 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$48,995
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$489.95
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
24%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Nov 6 | Dec 6 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $392 (-20%) | -$9,799 | -$9,799 | -$9,799 |
| $416 (-15%) | -$7,349 | -$7,349 | -$7,349 |
| $441 (-10%) | -$4,900 | -$4,900 | -$4,900 |
| $465 (-5%) | -$2,450 | -$2,450 | -$2,450 |
| $480 (-2%) | -$980 | -$980 | -$980 |
| $490 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $500 (+2%) | +$980 | +$980 | +$980 |
| $514 (+5%) | +$2,450 | +$2,450 | +$2,450 |
| $539 (+10%) | +$4,900 | +$4,900 | +$4,900 |
| $550 (+12%) โ target | +$6,005 | +$6,005 | +$6,005 |
| $563 (+15%) | +$7,349 | +$7,349 | +$7,349 |
| $588 (+20%) | +$9,799 | +$9,799 | +$9,799 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.