Target Price Playground
LIN
$489.95
🟢
LIN IV: 23.4% — LOW
(-47.1% vs 30d avg of 44.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $490 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $18.8 · Δ 0.56
LONG PUT · $490 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $18.3 · Δ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $560 by Dec 18: the long straddle returns +$3,290 (88.7%) on $3,710 risked, vs +$7,005 (14.3%) for 100 shares on $48,995. Options give 6.2× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $560 by Dec 18
+$3,290
+88.7% on $3,710 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
−$3,710
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$452.90
-7.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
17%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
10.54 / -28.02 / 172.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $392 (-20%) | +$5,732 | +$5,819 | +$5,949 | +$6,094 |
| $416 (-15%) | +$3,515 | +$3,460 | +$3,507 | +$3,644 |
| $441 (-10%) | +$1,710 | +$1,393 | +$1,157 | +$1,195 |
| $465 (-5%) | +$606 | +$4 | -$698 | -$1,255 |
| $480 (-2%) | +$371 | -$345 | -$1,265 | -$2,725 |
| $490 (0%) ← spot | +$403 | -$350 | -$1,333 | -$3,705 |
| $500 (+2%) | +$581 | -$176 | -$1,148 | -$2,735 |
| $514 (+5%) | +$1,103 | +$395 | -$449 | -$1,265 |
| $539 (+10%) | +$2,536 | +$1,993 | +$1,470 | +$1,185 |
| $560 (+14%) ← target | +$4,170 | +$3,778 | +$3,462 | +$3,290 |
| $588 (+20%) | +$6,672 | +$6,420 | +$6,231 | +$6,084 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.