Target Price Playground
LIN
$514.99
๐ข
LIN IV: 23.4% โ LOW
(-32.4% vs 30d avg of 34.6%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $560 by Aug 21
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
64d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $514.99 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $560 ยท Aug '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.86 ยท ฮ 0.24
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If LIN hits $560 by Aug 21: the covered call returns +$5,187 (10.2%) on $50,813 risked, vs +$4,501 (8.7%) for 100 shares on $51,499. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Aug 21, 2026 (64 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if LIN is at $560. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if LIN hits $560 by Aug 21
+$5,187
+10.2% on $50,813 risked
Max Profit
+$5,187
If the stock โฅ $560 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$50,813
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$508.13
-1.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
38%
IV-implied, 64d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
76.15 / 13.86 / -66.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| LIN Price | Today | Jul 9 | Jul 30 | Aug 21 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $412 (-20%) | -$9,616 | -$9,614 | -$9,614 | -$9,614 |
| $438 (-15%) | -$7,053 | -$7,041 | -$7,039 | -$7,039 |
| $463 (-10%) | -$4,533 | -$4,482 | -$4,465 | -$4,464 |
| $489 (-5%) | -$2,138 | -$1,991 | -$1,901 | -$1,889 |
| $505 (-2%) | -$815 | -$584 | -$396 | -$344 |
| $515 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$293 | +$568 | +$686 |
| $525 (+2%) | +$751 | +$1,103 | +$1,475 | +$1,716 |
| $541 (+5%) | +$1,744 | +$2,169 | +$2,676 | +$3,261 |
| $560 (+9%) โ target | +$2,741 | +$3,214 | +$3,805 | +$5,187 |
| $566 (+10%) | +$3,018 | +$3,493 | +$4,085 | +$5,187 |
| $592 (+15%) | +$3,844 | +$4,275 | +$4,757 | +$5,187 |
| $618 (+20%) | +$4,319 | +$4,658 | +$4,977 | +$5,187 |
Uses LIN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.