Target Price Playground
MNST
$47.34
🟢
MNST IV: 30.1% — LOW
(-24.9% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $47 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $2.4 · Δ 0.57
SHORT CALL · $51 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $0.88 · Δ 0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If MNST hits $53 by Dec 18: the bull call spread returns +$249 (164.3%) on $151 risked, vs +$566 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $4,734. Options give 13.7× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MNST is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if MNST hits $53 by Dec 18
+$249
+164.3% on $151 risked
Max Profit
+$249
If the stock ≥ $51 at expiry
Max Loss
−$151
Net debit
Break-even
$48.51
+2.48% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
28%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
28.28 / -0.43 / 0.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| MNST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$147 | -$151 | -$152 | -$152 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$136 | -$145 | -$151 | -$152 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$109 | -$125 | -$144 | -$152 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$63 | -$81 | -$110 | -$152 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$27 | -$41 | -$67 | -$152 |
| $47 (0%) ← spot | -$1 | -$10 | -$29 | -$118 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$27 | +$23 | +$14 | -$23 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$67 | +$72 | +$81 | +$119 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$128 | +$144 | +$173 | +$248 |
| $53 (+12%) ← target | +$149 | +$167 | +$198 | +$248 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$176 | +$195 | +$223 | +$248 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$208 | +$224 | +$241 | +$248 |
Uses MNST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.