Target Price Playground
MNST
$47.34
🟢
MNST IV: 30.1% — LOW
(-24.9% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $53 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $47 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $2.4 · Δ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If MNST hits $53 by Dec 18: the long call returns +$360 (150.2%) on $240 risked, vs +$566 (12.0%) for 100 shares on $4,734. Options give 12.5× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MNST is at $53. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if MNST hits $53 by Dec 18
+$360
+150.2% on $240 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
−$240
Premium paid
Break-even
$49.40
+4.35% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
28%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
56.91 / -2.45 / 6.75
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| MNST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$235 | -$239 | -$240 | -$240 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$220 | -$232 | -$239 | -$240 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$184 | -$209 | -$232 | -$240 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$113 | -$151 | -$195 | -$240 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$51 | -$93 | -$145 | -$240 |
| $47 (0%) ← spot | -$0 | -$43 | -$97 | -$206 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$57 | +$15 | -$37 | -$111 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$155 | +$116 | +$71 | +$31 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$342 | +$312 | +$283 | +$267 |
| $53 (+12%) ← target | +$423 | +$396 | +$373 | +$360 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$553 | +$531 | +$514 | +$504 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$778 | +$762 | +$750 | +$741 |
Uses MNST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.