Target Price Playground
MNST
$47.34
🟢
MNST IV: 29.8% — LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $54 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $47 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $2.4 · Δ 0.57
LONG PUT · $47 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $1.78 · Δ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If MNST hits $54 by Dec 18: the long straddle returns +$282 (67.5%) on $418 risked, vs +$666 (14.1%) for 100 shares on $4,734. Options give 4.8× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MNST is at $54. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if MNST hits $54 by Dec 18
+$282
+67.5% on $418 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
−$418
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$51.18
+8.11% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
20%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
13.81 / -4.32 / 13.49
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| MNST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | +$478 | +$479 | +$486 | +$495 |
| $40 (-15%) | +$269 | +$255 | +$250 | +$258 |
| $43 (-10%) | +$105 | +$64 | +$28 | +$21 |
| $45 (-5%) | +$10 | -$55 | -$135 | -$215 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$6 | -$81 | -$177 | -$357 |
| $47 (0%) ← spot | -$0 | -$76 | -$175 | -$384 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$20 | -$55 | -$151 | -$289 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$72 | +$4 | -$77 | -$147 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$211 | +$160 | +$112 | +$89 |
| $54 (+14%) ← target | +$359 | +$323 | +$294 | +$282 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$608 | +$587 | +$573 | +$563 |
Uses MNST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.