Target Price Playground
MNST
$47.34
🟢
MNST IV: 29.8% — LOW
(-25.7% vs 30d avg of 40.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $51 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
🎯 Target
48d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $47.34 · Δ 1.00
SHORT CALL · $51 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $0.88 · Δ 0.29
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If MNST hits $51 by Dec 18: the covered call returns +$454 (9.8%) on $4,646 risked, vs +$366 (7.7%) for 100 shares on $4,734. Options give 1.3× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if MNST is at $51. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if MNST hits $51 by Dec 18
+$454
+9.8% on $4,646 risked
Max Profit
+$454
If the stock ≥ $51 at expiry
Max Loss
−$4,646
If stock → $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$46.46
-1.87% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
48%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
71.38 / 2.01 / -5.84
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| MNST Price | Today | Nov 16 | Dec 2 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 (-20%) | -$860 | -$859 | -$859 | -$859 |
| $40 (-15%) | -$625 | -$623 | -$622 | -$622 |
| $43 (-10%) | -$398 | -$389 | -$385 | -$385 |
| $45 (-5%) | -$186 | -$167 | -$152 | -$149 |
| $46 (-2%) | -$71 | -$43 | -$17 | -$7 |
| $47 (0%) ← spot | -$0 | +$33 | +$68 | +$88 |
| $48 (+2%) | +$64 | +$103 | +$147 | +$183 |
| $50 (+5%) | +$150 | +$193 | +$248 | +$325 |
| $51 (+8%) ← target | +$214 | +$260 | +$319 | +$454 |
| $52 (+10%) | +$259 | +$305 | +$363 | +$454 |
| $54 (+15%) | +$333 | +$373 | +$419 | +$454 |
| $57 (+20%) | +$377 | +$409 | +$438 | +$454 |
Uses MNST's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.