Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
🟢
PLTR IV: 53.5% — LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $205 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $192.07 · Δ 1.00
SHORT CALL · $205 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $13.8 · Δ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $205 by Dec 18: the covered call returns +$2,673 (15.0%) on $17,827 risked, vs +$1,293 (6.7%) for 100 shares on $19,207. Options give 2.2× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $205. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $205 by Dec 18
+$2,673
+15.0% on $17,827 risked
Max Profit
+$2,673
If the stock ≥ $205 at expiry
Max Loss
−$17,827
If stock → $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$178.27
-7.19% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
54.58 / 13.57 / -33.81
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$2,714 | -$2,576 | -$2,479 | -$2,461 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,927 | -$1,729 | -$1,556 | -$1,501 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$1,208 | -$950 | -$683 | -$541 |
| $182 (-5%) | -$564 | -$252 | +$111 | +$420 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$216 | +$123 | +$536 | +$996 |
| $192 (0%) ← spot | -$0 | +$354 | +$795 | +$1,380 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$203 | +$569 | +$1,033 | +$1,764 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$485 | +$864 | +$1,351 | +$2,340 |
| $205 (+7%) ← target | +$635 | +$1,019 | +$1,514 | +$2,673 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$894 | +$1,282 | +$1,778 | +$2,673 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$1,234 | +$1,614 | +$2,085 | +$2,673 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$1,511 | +$1,872 | +$2,293 | +$2,673 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.