Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
🟢
PLTR IV: 53.5% — LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $190 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $19.5 · Δ 0.58
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18: the long call returns +$550 (28.2%) on $1,950 risked, vs +$2,293 (11.9%) for 100 shares on $19,207. Options give 2.4× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $215. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18
+$550
+28.2% on $1,950 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
−$1,950
Premium paid
Break-even
$209.50
+9.07% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
58.17 / -12.96 / 33.46
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$1,503 | -$1,701 | -$1,883 | -$1,950 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,239 | -$1,497 | -$1,775 | -$1,950 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$893 | -$1,200 | -$1,569 | -$1,950 |
| $182 (-5%) | -$459 | -$801 | -$1,236 | -$1,950 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$159 | -$513 | -$968 | -$1,950 |
| $192 (0%) ← spot | +$57 | -$301 | -$761 | -$1,743 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$286 | -$73 | -$533 | -$1,359 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$652 | +$295 | -$152 | -$783 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$1,317 | +$977 | +$573 | +$178 |
| $215 (+12%) ← target | +$1,592 | +$1,261 | +$879 | +$550 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$2,043 | +$1,729 | +$1,384 | +$1,138 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$2,819 | +$2,538 | +$2,256 | +$2,098 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.