Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
๐ข
PLTR IV: 53.5% โ LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $215 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
72d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $192.07 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$2,293 (11.9%) on $19,207 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $215 by Dec 18
+$2,293
+11.9% on $19,207 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$19,207
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$192.07
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Nov 6 | Dec 6 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$3,841 | -$3,841 | -$3,841 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$2,881 | -$2,881 | -$2,881 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$1,921 | -$1,921 | -$1,921 |
| $182 (-5%) | -$960 | -$960 | -$960 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$384 | -$384 | -$384 |
| $192 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$384 | +$384 | +$384 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$960 | +$960 | +$960 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$1,921 | +$1,921 | +$1,921 |
| $215 (+12%) โ target | +$2,293 | +$2,293 | +$2,293 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$2,881 | +$2,881 | +$2,881 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$3,841 | +$3,841 | +$3,841 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.