Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
🟢
PLTR IV: 53.5% — LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $192.07 · Δ 1.00
LONG PUT · $180 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $10.95 · Δ -0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $210 by Dec 18: the protective put returns +$698 (3.4%) on $20,302 risked, vs +$1,793 (9.3%) for 100 shares on $19,207. Options give 0.4× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $210 by Dec 18
+$698
+3.4% on $20,302 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
−$2,302
Put floors you at $180
Break-even
$203.02
+5.7% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
70%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
66.92 / -10.34 / 32.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | -$1,819 | -$2,004 | -$2,205 | -$2,302 |
| $163 (-15%) | -$1,480 | -$1,716 | -$2,008 | -$2,302 |
| $173 (-10%) | -$1,049 | -$1,320 | -$1,679 | -$2,302 |
| $182 (-5%) | -$530 | -$817 | -$1,200 | -$2,055 |
| $188 (-2%) | -$179 | -$466 | -$844 | -$1,479 |
| $192 (0%) ← spot | +$71 | -$213 | -$580 | -$1,095 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$332 | +$54 | -$297 | -$711 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$745 | +$479 | +$158 | -$135 |
| $210 (+9%) ← target | +$1,380 | +$1,138 | +$869 | +$698 |
| $221 (+15%) | +$2,269 | +$2,065 | +$1,866 | +$1,786 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$3,099 | +$2,929 | +$2,785 | +$2,746 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.