Target Price Playground
PLTR
$192.07
🟢
PLTR IV: 53.5% — LOW
(-15.4% vs 30d avg of 63.2%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $220 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
📋 Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
🎯 Target
72d from today
⚙️ Legs
LONG CALL · $190 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $19.5 · Δ 0.58
LONG PUT · $190 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $15.45 · Δ -0.42
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target
If PLTR hits $220 by Dec 18: the long straddle returns $-495 (-14.2%) on $3,495 risked, vs +$2,793 (14.5%) for 100 shares on $19,207. Options give 1.0× capital efficiency.
📅 Expiry
Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (72 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if PLTR is at $220. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
📊 Projected Return
P&L if PLTR hits $220 by Dec 18
$-495
-14.2% on $3,495 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
−$3,495
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$224.95
+17.12% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
54%
IV-implied, 72d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
15.96 / -23.91 / 66.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates
| PLTR Price | Today | Oct 31 | Nov 24 | Dec 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $154 (-20%) | +$865 | +$525 | +$217 | +$139 |
| $163 (-15%) | +$432 | -$27 | -$527 | -$821 |
| $173 (-10%) | +$166 | -$393 | -$1,076 | -$1,781 |
| $182 (-5%) | +$71 | -$557 | -$1,369 | -$2,742 |
| $188 (-2%) | +$96 | -$556 | -$1,410 | -$3,318 |
| $192 (0%) ← spot | +$145 | -$516 | -$1,381 | -$3,288 |
| $196 (+2%) | +$218 | -$445 | -$1,308 | -$2,904 |
| $202 (+5%) | +$374 | -$283 | -$1,122 | -$2,328 |
| $211 (+10%) | +$744 | +$119 | -$633 | -$1,367 |
| $220 (+15%) ← target | +$1,185 | +$608 | -$37 | -$495 |
| $230 (+20%) | +$1,828 | +$1,321 | +$813 | +$553 |
Uses PLTR's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.