Is QCOM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QCOM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QCOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of QCOM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QCOM to be between $156.83 and $167.72. The current price is $168.74.

What is the analyst price target for QCOM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QCOM is $193.10. This implies a potential upside of 14.4% from current levels.

QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QCOM - Qualcomm Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

$168.74

0.17 (0.10%) ▲

5d: +2.77%

30d: +5.21%

90d: -21.86%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $169.96 · last confirmed Sep 4, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QCOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -3.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$157.30

Based on 0.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$97.67

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $168.74, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.83 to $167.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.10 (+14.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $156.83 - $167.72

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.9%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($193.10)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.2% growth with -4.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $156.83 - $167.72

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $156.23

Resistance Level $171.38

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Sep 4, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.54

Wall Street Target $193.10 (+14.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.0%

Profit Margin 21.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.2% premium

PE vs Historical 16.5 vs 15.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $174.14 (+3%)

2-Year Target $179.71 (+7%)

3-Year Target $185.46 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→15) PE COMPRESSION $169.32 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: -3.1%) $188.07 (+12%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: -3.1%) $153.76 (-9%)

Bear: (PE: 14.1, Growth: -3.1%) $130.70 (-23%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.68

Bull Case $217.94 (+29%)

Analyst growth 17.5%, PE expands to 21.4

Base Case $198.13 (+17%)

Market implied 17.5%, PE stable at 19.4

Bear Case $114.63 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:34 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Akash J Palkhiwala SELL 2500 shares 2026-04-13

Patricia Y Grech SELL 85 shares 2026-04-02

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