QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$168.63
-2.48 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
-1.83%
30d:
-14.58%
90d:
+25.89%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
4d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QCOM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: QCOM is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$188.46
Based on 2.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$117.02
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $168.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $173.47 to $206.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: QCOM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $221.23 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $164.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: QCOM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $221.23 (+29.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$173.47 -
$206.73
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QCOM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($221.23)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$173.47 -
$206.73
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$164.77
Resistance Level
$190.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.59
Wall Street Target
$221.23
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
173.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$173.51
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$175.93
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$178.40
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$171.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: 1.5%)
$240.42
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 1.5%)
$178.96
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 1.5%)
$152.11
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.30
Bull Case
$227.93
(+33%)
Analyst growth 18.0%, PE expands to 20.8
Base Case
$207.21
(+21%)
Market implied 18.0%, PE stable at 18.9
Bear Case
$119.43
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 24, 2026 11:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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