QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$211.72
8.76 (4.32%)
▲
5d:
-1.95%
30d:
-0.68%
90d:
+63.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: QCOM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 11.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.53
Based on 1.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $211.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $194.99 to $237.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (14.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $190.10, while resistance sits at $254.92. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $180.48. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $190.10, while resistance sits at $254.92. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $180.48. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$194.99 -
$237.35
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BEARISH: Trading 14.8% above Wall St target ($180.48)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.2% growth expectation is conservative given 173% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$194.99 -
$237.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.10
Resistance Level
$254.92
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.85
Wall Street Target
$180.48
(-14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
173.0%
Profit Margin
22.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.2% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 14.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$235.43
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$261.80
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$291.12
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$211.22
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -1.2%)
$225.54
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.8, Growth: -1.2%)
$204.22
(-4%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: -1.2%)
$148.16
(-30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.30
Bull Case
$256.08
(+21%)
Analyst growth 14.7%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$232.80
(+10%)
Market implied 14.7%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$138.01
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 8:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
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