QCOM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QCOM - Qualcomm Inc
$169.61
2.99 (1.80%)
▲
5d:
+3.59%
30d:
+4.26%
90d:
-32.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: QCOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: QCOM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$156.26
Based on 0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$97.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $169.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $156.48 to $167.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.3) is in line with its historical norms (15.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.10 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $171.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $193.10 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$156.48 -
$167.10
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding QCOM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($193.10)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with -4.0% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$156.48 -
$167.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$156.23
Resistance Level
$171.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.33
Wall Street Target
$193.10
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.0%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
16.3 vs 15.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$171.28
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$176.07
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$181.00
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$166.25
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -3.1%)
$186.86
(+12%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.3, Growth: -3.1%)
$151.82
(-9%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.9, Growth: -3.1%)
$129.05
(-23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.09
Bull Case
$210.47
(+26%)
Analyst growth 12.2%, PE expands to 20.6
Base Case
$191.34
(+15%)
Market implied 12.2%, PE stable at 18.8
Bear Case
$115.93
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 02, 2026 2:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:21 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Akash J Palkhiwala
SELL
2500 shares
2026-04-13
Patricia Y Grech
SELL
85 shares
2026-04-02
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