Is QCOM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, QCOM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QCOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of QCOM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for QCOM to be between $161.11 and $183.24. The current price is $198.27.

What is the analyst price target for QCOM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for QCOM is $194.13. This implies a potential upside of -2.1% from current levels.

Qualcomm (QCOM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

QCOM - Qualcomm Inc

RADIO & TV BROADCASTING & COMMUNICATIONS EQUIPMENT

$198.27

4.04 (2.08%) ▲

5d: +5.58%

30d: +23.34%

90d: -2.87%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Sep 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 21, 2026 at $194.23 · last confirmed Sep 22, 2026

Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: QCOM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -2.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$159.99

Based on 0.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$99.34

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: QCOM is currently trading at $198.27, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $161.11 to $183.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, QCOM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $199.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: QCOM scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $161.11 - $183.24

Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 22.4%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.2% above its trading range)
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($194.13)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.5% growth with -4.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $161.11 - $183.24

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $170.51

Resistance Level $199.15

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Sep 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.43

Wall Street Target $194.13 (-2.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -23.0%

Profit Margin 21.0%

Valuation Premium vs History +8.5% premium

PE vs Historical 19.4 vs 15.2 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +8.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $215.12 (+9%)

2-Year Target $233.41 (+18%)

3-Year Target $253.25 (+28%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→15) PE COMPRESSION $198.11 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: -2.7%) $191.54 (+-3%)

Base: (SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: -2.7%) $182.79 (-8%)

Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: -2.7%) $142.99 (-28%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 22.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.74

Bull Case $249.44 (+26%)

Analyst growth 16.8%, PE expands to 24.5

Base Case $226.76 (+14%)

Market implied 16.8%, PE stable at 22.2

Bear Case $132.08 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: September 22, 2026 6:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:11 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is QCOM showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Akash J Palkhiwala SELL 2500 shares 2026-04-13

Patricia Y Grech SELL 85 shares 2026-04-02

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Advanced QCOM Option Strategies

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