Target Price Playground
TMUS
$156.44
๐ข
TMUS IV: 34.1% โ LOW
(-38.1% vs 30d avg of 55.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $175 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
48d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $156.44 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If TMUS hits $175 by Dec 18: the long stock returns +$1,856 (11.9%) on $15,644 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Dec 18.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if TMUS hits $175 by Dec 18
+$1,856
+11.9% on $15,644 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$15,644
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$156.44
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
35%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| TMUS Price | Today | Nov 30 | Dec 30 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $125 (-20%) | -$3,129 | -$3,129 | -$3,129 |
| $133 (-15%) | -$2,347 | -$2,347 | -$2,347 |
| $141 (-10%) | -$1,564 | -$1,564 | -$1,564 |
| $149 (-5%) | -$782 | -$782 | -$782 |
| $153 (-2%) | -$313 | -$313 | -$313 |
| $156 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $160 (+2%) | +$313 | +$313 | +$313 |
| $164 (+5%) | +$782 | +$782 | +$782 |
| $172 (+10%) | +$1,564 | +$1,564 | +$1,564 |
| $175 (+12%) โ target | +$1,856 | +$1,856 | +$1,856 |
| $180 (+15%) | +$2,347 | +$2,347 | +$2,347 |
| $188 (+20%) | +$3,129 | +$3,129 | +$3,129 |
Uses TMUS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.