Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder LEAP Simulator
WDC
$366.11
🟢
WDC IV: 62.7% — LOW (-29.6% vs 30d avg of 89.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg — good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $385 by Dec 18
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

📋 Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

🎯 Target

48d from today

⚙️ Legs

SHORT PUT · $335 · Dec '26
Qty 1 · Premium $17.88 · Δ -0.3
P&L at Expiry Now $366 Target $385 $256 $366 $476
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
💡 Stock vs Options at Target

If WDC hits $385 by Dec 18: the cash-secured put returns +$1,788 (5.6%) on $-1,788 credit (max loss $31,712), vs +$1,889 (5.2%) for 100 shares on $36,611. Options give 1.1× capital efficiency.

📅 Expiry

Options expire Dec 18, 2026 (48 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if WDC is at $385. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

📊 Projected Return

P&L if WDC hits $385 by Dec 18
+$1,788
+5.6% on $31,712 max loss
Max Profit
+$1,788
If the stock ≥ $335 at expiry
Max Loss
−$31,712
If stock → $0 after assignment
Break-even
$317.12
-13.38% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
82%
IV-implied, 48d (rough)
Net Δ / Θ / V
29.83 / 28.6 / -46.04
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
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📋 Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode — ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score ≥ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

📊 P&L Scenarios — what happens at different prices and dates

WDC Price Today Nov 16 Dec 2 Dec 18 (exp)
$293 (-20%) -$3,496 -$3,121 -$2,696 -$2,423
$311 (-15%) -$2,356 -$1,894 -$1,309 -$593
$330 (-10%) -$1,399 -$887 -$207 +$1,238
$348 (-5%) -$619 -$96 +$591 +$1,788
$359 (-2%) -$230 +$283 +$936 +$1,788
$366 (0%) ← spot +$0 +$499 +$1,119 +$1,788
$373 (+2%) +$208 +$690 +$1,267 +$1,788
$385 (+5%) ← target +$494 +$942 +$1,446 +$1,788
$403 (+10%) +$845 +$1,231 +$1,616 +$1,788
$421 (+15%) +$1,117 +$1,435 +$1,708 +$1,788
$439 (+20%) +$1,315 +$1,569 +$1,753 +$1,788
Uses WDC's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.