AMZN Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 58/100

Amazon.com Inc (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $245.34 ยท Analysis generated Jul 10, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Jul 10

Quick Take

AMZN is trading at $245.34 with RSI at 52 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 37% โ€” 34% below its 30-day average of 55%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
52
IV Today
36.7%
IV vs 30d Avg
-34%
MACD
bullish
ADX
26
MFI
68

The Setup

AMZN Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $245.34
SHORT CALL
$265 Sep '26 ยท $9.7/sh
Net Cost
$23,564
Max Profit
+$2,936
Break-even
$235.64
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,936 (12.5%)
P&L at Expiry Now $245 $172 $245 $319

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AMZN prices by expiry:

AMZN Price Today Aug 3 Aug 26 Sep 18 (exp)
$196 (-20%) -$3,994 -$3,952 -$3,938 -$3,937
$209 (-15%) -$2,850 -$2,762 -$2,715 -$2,710
$221 (-10%) -$1,780 -$1,626 -$1,509 -$1,483
$233 (-5%) -$812 -$584 -$360 -$257
$240 (-2%) -$291 -$20 +$277 +$479
$245 (0%) โ† now +$30 +$326 +$669 +$970
$250 (+2%) +$329 +$646 +$1,029 +$1,461
$258 (+5%) +$733 +$1,074 +$1,504 +$2,197
$265 (+8%) โ† target +$1,088 +$1,442 +$1,894 +$2,936
$270 (+10%) +$1,295 +$1,651 +$2,104 +$2,936
$282 (+15%) +$1,728 +$2,070 +$2,483 +$2,936
$294 (+20%) +$2,047 +$2,355 +$2,691 +$2,936

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 52 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -34% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 26 โ€” moderate trend
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

AMZN has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if AMZN approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 26 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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