AMZN Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 63/100

Amazon.com Inc (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $256.29 ยท Analysis generated Oct 7, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Oct 7

Quick Take

AMZN is trading at $256.29 with RSI at 55 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 34% โ€” 26% below its 30-day average of 46%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
55
IV Today
33.8%
IV vs 30d Avg
-26%
MACD
bullish
ADX
9
MFI
64

The Setup

AMZN Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $256.29
SHORT CALL
$275 Dec '26 ยท $9.52/sh
Net Cost
$24,677
Max Profit
+$2,823
Break-even
$246.77
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,823 (11.4%)
P&L at Expiry Now $256 $179 $256 $333

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AMZN prices by expiry:

AMZN Price Today Oct 31 Nov 24 Dec 18 (exp)
$205 (-20%) -$4,220 -$4,185 -$4,174 -$4,174
$218 (-15%) -$3,013 -$2,935 -$2,895 -$2,892
$231 (-10%) -$1,883 -$1,739 -$1,633 -$1,611
$243 (-5%) -$863 -$642 -$426 -$329
$251 (-2%) -$318 -$52 +$240 +$439
$256 (0%) โ† now +$16 +$308 +$648 +$952
$261 (+2%) +$325 +$639 +$1,021 +$1,465
$269 (+5%) +$739 +$1,077 +$1,503 +$2,233
$275 (+7%) โ† target +$1,019 +$1,367 +$1,809 +$2,823
$282 (+10%) +$1,306 +$1,655 +$2,095 +$2,823
$295 (+15%) +$1,729 +$2,058 +$2,445 +$2,823
$308 (+20%) +$2,030 +$2,319 +$2,622 +$2,823

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 55 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -26% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 9 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

AMZN has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if AMZN approaches the strike before expiry.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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