AVGO Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 63/100

Broadcom Inc (Technology) ยท $389.28 ยท Analysis generated Jul 31, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Jul 31

Quick Take

AVGO is trading at $389.28 with RSI at 51 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 49% โ€” 37% below its 30-day average of 78%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
51
IV Today
49.4%
IV vs 30d Avg
-37%
MACD
bullish
ADX
15
MFI
54

The Setup

AVGO Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $389.28
SHORT CALL
$420 Sep '26 ยท $19.5/sh
Net Cost
$36,978
Max Profit
+$5,022
Break-even
$369.78
Projected P&L at Target
+$5,022 (13.6%)
P&L at Expiry Now $389 $272 $389 $506

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AVGO prices by expiry:

AVGO Price Today Aug 17 Sep 2 Sep 18 (exp)
$311 (-20%) -$5,987 -$5,884 -$5,839 -$5,836
$331 (-15%) -$4,215 -$4,026 -$3,906 -$3,889
$350 (-10%) -$2,568 -$2,270 -$2,017 -$1,943
$370 (-5%) -$1,082 -$667 -$234 +$4
$381 (-2%) -$281 +$198 +$743 +$1,171
$389 (0%) โ† now +$215 +$730 +$1,344 +$1,950
$397 (+2%) +$677 +$1,223 +$1,897 +$2,729
$409 (+5%) +$1,309 +$1,889 +$2,628 +$3,896
$420 (+8%) โ† target +$1,850 +$2,447 +$3,216 +$5,022
$428 (+10%) +$2,203 +$2,804 +$3,574 +$5,022
$448 (+15%) +$2,908 +$3,489 +$4,199 +$5,022
$467 (+20%) +$3,449 +$3,978 +$4,571 +$5,022

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 51 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -37% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 15 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

AVGO has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if AVGO approaches the strike before expiry.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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