AVGO Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 58/100

Broadcom Inc (Technology) ยท $411.35 ยท Analysis generated Jun 18, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Jun 18

Quick Take

AVGO is trading at $411.35 with RSI at 51 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 51% โ€” 36% below its 30-day average of 80%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
51
IV Today
51.2%
IV vs 30d Avg
-36%
MACD
bearish
ADX
20
MFI
53

The Setup

AVGO Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $411.35
SHORT CALL
$445 Aug '26 ยท $23.82/sh
Net Cost
$38,753
Max Profit
+$5,747
Break-even
$387.53
Projected P&L at Target
+$5,747 (14.8%)
P&L at Expiry Now $411 $288 $411 $535

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different AVGO prices by expiry:

AVGO Price Today Jul 9 Jul 30 Aug 21 (exp)
$329 (-20%) -$6,183 -$5,982 -$5,861 -$5,845
$350 (-15%) -$4,407 -$4,093 -$3,848 -$3,788
$370 (-10%) -$2,770 -$2,330 -$1,912 -$1,731
$391 (-5%) -$1,296 -$737 -$120 +$325
$403 (-2%) -$497 +$126 +$855 +$1,559
$411 (0%) โ† now -$0 +$658 +$1,455 +$2,382
$420 (+2%) +$467 +$1,156 +$2,010 +$3,205
$432 (+5%) +$1,113 +$1,836 +$2,754 +$4,439
$445 (+8%) โ† target +$1,727 +$2,472 +$3,424 +$5,747
$452 (+10%) +$2,046 +$2,797 +$3,754 +$5,747
$473 (+15%) +$2,813 +$3,554 +$4,471 +$5,747
$494 (+20%) +$3,431 +$4,132 +$4,950 +$5,747

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 51 โ€” neutral-bullish
  • IV -36% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 20 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if AVGO rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
Try This in the Playground โ†’ โ† All Candidates