MAR Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

Marriott International Inc (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $372.83 ยท Analysis generated Jul 31, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Jul 31

Quick Take

MAR is trading at $372.83 with RSI at 49 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 34% โ€” 53% below its 30-day average of 72%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
49
IV Today
34.0%
IV vs 30d Avg
-53%
MACD
bullish
ADX
13
MFI
43

The Setup

MAR Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $372.83
SHORT CALL
$405 Sep '26 ยท $7.08/sh
Net Cost
$36,575
Max Profit
+$3,925
Break-even
$365.75
Projected P&L at Target
+$3,925 (10.7%)
P&L at Expiry Now $373 $261 $373 $485

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different MAR prices by expiry:

MAR Price Today Aug 17 Sep 2 Sep 18 (exp)
$298 (-20%) -$6,756 -$6,750 -$6,749 -$6,749
$317 (-15%) -$4,917 -$4,891 -$4,884 -$4,884
$336 (-10%) -$3,135 -$3,058 -$3,022 -$3,020
$354 (-5%) -$1,470 -$1,305 -$1,182 -$1,156
$365 (-2%) -$560 -$330 -$118 -$38
$373 (0%) โ† now -$0 +$273 +$555 +$708
$380 (+2%) +$518 +$831 +$1,183 +$1,454
$391 (+5%) +$1,208 +$1,568 +$2,010 +$2,572
$405 (+9%) โ† target +$1,903 +$2,291 +$2,785 +$3,925
$410 (+10%) +$2,126 +$2,515 +$3,009 +$3,925
$429 (+15%) +$2,766 +$3,125 +$3,542 +$3,925
$447 (+20%) +$3,178 +$3,470 +$3,758 +$3,925

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 49
  • IV -53% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 13 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

MAR has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if MAR approaches the strike before expiry.
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