MAR Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 70/100

Marriott International Inc (Consumer Cyclical) ยท $356.60 ยท Analysis generated Aug 21, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Aug 21

Quick Take

MAR is trading at $356.60 with RSI at 45 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 22% โ€” 68% below its 30-day average of 69%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
45
IV Today
22.0%
IV vs 30d Avg
-68%
MACD
bullish
ADX
15
MFI
51

The Setup

MAR Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $356.6
SHORT CALL
$385 Oct '26 ยท $5.92/sh
Net Cost
$35,068
Max Profit
+$3,432
Break-even
$350.68
Projected P&L at Target
+$3,432 (9.8%)
P&L at Expiry Now $357 $250 $357 $464

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different MAR prices by expiry:

MAR Price Today Sep 8 Sep 27 Oct 16 (exp)
$285 (-20%) -$6,543 -$6,540 -$6,540 -$6,540
$303 (-15%) -$4,774 -$4,760 -$4,757 -$4,757
$321 (-10%) -$3,048 -$2,997 -$2,975 -$2,974
$339 (-5%) -$1,427 -$1,300 -$1,208 -$1,191
$349 (-2%) -$541 -$356 -$181 -$121
$357 (0%) โ† now +$0 +$226 +$468 +$592
$364 (+2%) +$497 +$760 +$1,070 +$1,305
$374 (+5%) +$1,151 +$1,457 +$1,851 +$2,375
$385 (+8%) โ† target +$1,685 +$2,011 +$2,445 +$3,432
$392 (+10%) +$1,988 +$2,315 +$2,745 +$3,432
$410 (+15%) +$2,536 +$2,825 +$3,164 +$3,432
$428 (+20%) +$2,857 +$3,083 +$3,303 +$3,432

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 45
  • IV -68% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 15 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

MAR has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if MAR approaches the strike before expiry.
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