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Why TMUS Is an Excellent Covered Call Candidate Right Now Strong · 78/100
T-Mobile US Inc (Communication Services) · $187.61 ·
Analysis generated Jul 10, 2026 ·
Data as of market close Jul 10
Quick Take
TMUS is trading at $187.61 with RSI at 55 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 29% — 45% below its 30-day average of 52%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.
Technical Signals
RSI (14)
55
IV Today
28.8%
IV vs 30d Avg
-45%
MACD
bullish
ADX
19
MFI
52
The Setup
TMUS Covered Call
LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $187.61
SHORT CALL
$205 Sep '26 · $5.73/sh
Net Cost
$18,188
Max Profit
+$2,312
Break-even
$181.88
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,312
(12.7%)
P&L at Expiry
P&L Scenarios
What happens at different TMUS prices by expiry:
| TMUS Price | Today | Aug 3 | Aug 26 | Sep 18 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $150 (-20%) | -$3,203 | -$3,184 | -$3,179 | -$3,179 |
| $159 (-15%) | -$2,308 | -$2,263 | -$2,242 | -$2,241 |
| $169 (-10%) | -$1,460 | -$1,371 | -$1,312 | -$1,303 |
| $178 (-5%) | -$683 | -$539 | -$410 | -$365 |
| $184 (-2%) | -$261 | -$82 | +$100 | +$198 |
| $188 (0%) ← now | -$0 | +$199 | +$419 | +$573 |
| $191 (+2%) | +$243 | +$461 | +$716 | +$948 |
| $197 (+5%) | +$573 | +$814 | +$1,111 | +$1,511 |
| $205 (+9%) ← target | +$973 | +$1,230 | +$1,558 | +$2,312 |
| $216 (+15%) | +$1,384 | +$1,636 | +$1,944 | +$2,312 |
| $225 (+20%) | +$1,641 | +$1,869 | +$2,120 | +$2,312 |
Why This Strategy, Why Now
- RSI at 55 — neutral-bullish
- IV -45% vs avg — premiums below average, less income
- MACD bullish — stock has upward momentum
- ADX at 19 — range-bound, perfect for selling calls
- No squeeze — no imminent breakout
Key Risks
TMUS has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if TMUS approaches the strike before expiry.