ACIW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACIW - ACI Worldwide, Inc.
$51.86
0.29 (0.56%)
▲
5d:
-2.96%
30d:
-4.9%
90d:
+21.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACIW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ACIW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.65
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIW is currently trading at $51.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.81 to $58.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+29.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$52.81 -
$58.04
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($67.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$52.81 -
$58.04
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.31
Resistance Level
$54.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.33
Wall Street Target
$67.33
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.95
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$54.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$55.20
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.75
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$99.33
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$65.98
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$56.08
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$102.16
(+97%)
Analyst growth 80.1%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case
$92.87
(+79%)
Market implied 80.1%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case
$35.07
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 6:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Juan Benitez II
BUY
2400 shares
2026-03-03
Adalio T Sanchez
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-02
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