ACIW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACIW - ACI Worldwide, Inc.
$57.80
-0.27 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
+2.43%
30d:
+29.48%
90d:
+29.98%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
16d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACIW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACIW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.44
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIW is currently trading at $57.80, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.41 to $55.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.81, while resistance sits at $60.17.
Market Sentiment: ACIW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.67 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $53.81, while resistance sits at $60.17.
Market Sentiment: ACIW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.67 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.41 -
$55.64
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($66.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.4% growth with 7.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.41 -
$55.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.81
Resistance Level
$60.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 17, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.12
Wall Street Target
$66.67
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-32.7%
Profit Margin
11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.4% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 12.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.37
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$66.98
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$71.94
(+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$58.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.0, Growth: 9.2%)
$105.04
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 9.2%)
$75.60
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 9.2%)
$60.99
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.98
Bull Case
$125.16
(+116%)
Analyst growth 93.9%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case
$113.78
(+96%)
Market implied 93.9%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$39.90
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 20, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Juan Benitez II
BUY
2400 shares
2026-03-03
Adalio T Sanchez
BUY
3000 shares
2026-03-02
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