ACI Worldwide (ACIW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$61.85
+0.40 (+0.65%)
▲
5d:
+4.49%
30d:
+20.8%
90d:
+15.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
30/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$50.91 – $57.68
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.2x
STRETCHED
vs 12.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$69.75
+12.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$54.48 / $63.10
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACIW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$68.96
Based on 7.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIW is currently trading at $61.85, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.91 to $57.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $63.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $63.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.75 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.91 -
$57.68
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$50.91 -
$57.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$54.48
Resistance Level
$63.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($69.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.1% growth with -11.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.16
Wall Street Target
$69.75
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-63.6%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.1% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 12.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.86
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$72.28
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$78.13
(+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$61.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 10.2%)
$101.72
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 10.2%)
$82.77
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.2%)
$65.56
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.63
Bull Case
$135.19
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case
$122.90
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 37.7
Bear Case
$41.79
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ACIW)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits users have identified a bullish three inside up candlestick pattern in $ACIW, suggesting a potential reversal in the stock's downward trend.
Key Retail Themes:
technical analysis, stock reversal
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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