ACI Worldwide (ACIW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACIW - ACI Worldwide, Inc.
$56.19
2.33 (4.33%)
▲
5d:
+6.93%
30d:
+14.16%
90d:
-0.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACIW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ACIW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.54
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIW is currently trading at $56.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.33 to $52.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.50 (+14.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$49.33 -
$52.73
Company Quality Score
34/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.6% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($64.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 34/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.33 -
$52.73
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.39
Resistance Level
$56.34
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.40
Wall Street Target
$64.50
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.66
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$61.24
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$63.94
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$98.93
(+76%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$71.73
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 8.5%)
$60.97
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.16
Bull Case
$107.04
(+91%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 27.4
Base Case
$97.31
(+73%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 24.9
Bear Case
$36.62
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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