ACI Worldwide (ACIW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ACIW - ACI Worldwide, Inc.
$52.09
0.12 (0.23%)
â˛
5d:
-1.55%
30d:
-1.25%
90d:
+17.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACIW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ACIW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.18
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ACIW is currently trading at $52.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.54 to $54.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.52, while resistance sits at $54.59.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ACIW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $50.52, while resistance sits at $54.59.
Market Sentiment: ACIW scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $67.33 (+29.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$51.54 -
$54.55
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($67.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$51.54 -
$54.55
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$50.52
Resistance Level
$54.59
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.39
Wall Street Target
$67.33
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
165.2%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.18
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$54.30
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$55.44
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.4%)
$99.82
(+92%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$66.27
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 8.4%)
$56.33
(+8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.84 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.18
Bull Case
$102.01
(+96%)
Analyst growth 78.4%, PE expands to 26.2
Base Case
$92.74
(+78%)
Market implied 78.4%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$35.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ACIW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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