AEIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEIS - Advanced Energy Industries Inc
$285.83
-6.79 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
-13.45%
30d:
-9.3%
90d:
-11.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEIS is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEIS is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$739.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$459.17
37.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEIS is currently trading at $285.83, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $282.49 to $329.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (29.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 93.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $282.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEIS scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $429.08 (+50.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $282.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AEIS scores 27/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $429.08 (+50.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$282.49 -
$329.61
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (27/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.1% below Wall St target ($429.08)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$282.49 -
$329.61
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$24.75
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$282.79
Resistance Level
$349.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.82
Wall Street Target
$429.08
(+50.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
93.4%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 29.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$257.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$231.52
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$208.37
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→29)
$322.23
(+13%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 35.1%)
$751.49
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 35.1%)
$704.59
(+147%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 35.1%)
$598.90
(+110%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.98
Bull Case
$345.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.1
Base Case
$285.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case
$218.66
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 29.1
Stabilization Target:
$442.02
(+54.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+54.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne
SELL
966 shares
2026-04-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-27
Paul R Oldham
SELL
4314 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced AEIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEIS price and gamma walls.
