AEIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEIS - Advanced Energy Industries Inc
$298.52
-9.53 (-3.09%)
▼
5d:
-3.96%
30d:
-3.13%
90d:
-21.37%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AEIS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$587.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$364.95
18.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEIS is currently trading at $298.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $305.24 to $366.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.7) compared to its historical average (30.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 144.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $279.38, while resistance sits at $376.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $427.00 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $279.38, while resistance sits at $376.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $427.00 (+43.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$305.24 -
$366.38
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 43.0% below Wall St target ($427.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$305.24 -
$366.38
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$33.74
(11.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$279.38
Resistance Level
$376.64
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.73
Wall Street Target
$427.00
(+43.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.8%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 30.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.12
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$260.97
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$244.01
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→30)
$298.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 28.5%)
$634.02
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$558.47
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.5%)
$474.70
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.30
Bull Case
$360.46
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$298.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$228.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.7 to 30.2
Stabilization Target:
$364.60
(+22.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne
SELL
966 shares
2026-04-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-27
Paul R Oldham
SELL
4314 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced AEIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEIS price and gamma walls.
