ALG
Alamo Group, Inc.
FARM MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT
Alamo Group (ALG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$141.71
+1.98 (+1.42%)
▲
5d:
-1.67%
30d:
-8.67%
90d:
-13.37%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$141.91 – $155.32
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.2x
CHEAP
vs 14.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$183.75
+29.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$133.32 / $154.29
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ALG trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Get Alerted When ALG Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$281.16
Based on 11.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$174.58
18.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALG is currently trading at $141.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $141.91 to $155.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (14.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $133.32, while resistance sits at $154.28.
Market Sentiment: ALG scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.75 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALG is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $133.32, while resistance sits at $154.28.
Market Sentiment: ALG scores 83/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.75 (+29.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$141.91 -
$155.32
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$141.91 -
$155.32
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$133.32
Resistance Level
$154.29
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (83/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($183.75)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 83/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$183.75
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-92.0%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 14.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$135.19
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$128.97
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$123.04
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$141.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 19.2%)
$390.17
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 19.2%)
$240.29
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 19.2%)
$204.25
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.36
Bull Case
$280.00
(+98%)
Analyst growth 82.2%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$254.55
(+80%)
Market implied 82.2%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$95.02
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.2 to 14.1
Stabilization Target:
$163.36
(+15.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.3%
Share ALG Analysis
Share this live ALG analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ALG)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
CEO Hureau Robert Paul bought 460 shares of $ALG for $75,624, boosting confidence among traders.
Key Retail Themes:
CEO buying activity
Bullish sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:18 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CAT
Caterpillar Inc |
BUY
29 analysts |
$823 | 59 HOLD |
|
DE
Deere & Company |
BUY
25 analysts |
$694 | 30 SELL |
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc |
BUY
19 analysts |
$127 | 67 BUY |
|
CNH
CNH Industrial N.V. |
BUY
18 analysts |
$14 | 45 HOLD |
|
OSK
Oshkosh Corporation |
BUY
18 analysts |
$160 | 47 HOLD |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive ALG Research Pages
