ALKS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALKS - Alkermes Inc. plc
$48.07
2.05 (4.45%)
▲
5d:
+8.36%
30d:
+30.09%
90d:
+73.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALKS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALKS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 15.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALKS is currently trading at $48.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.37 to $45.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.6) compared to its historical average (19.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALKS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALKS is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALKS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$38.37 -
$45.02
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
ALKS is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.19)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.9% growth with 28.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$38.37 -
$45.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.03
Resistance Level
$48.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.57
Wall Street Target
$47.19
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
28.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-67.0%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+15.9% premium
PE vs Historical
29.6 vs 19.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+15.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.34
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$61.82
(+34%)
3-Year Target
$71.65
(+56%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.04
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.6, Growth: 58.2%)
$155.32
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 58.2%)
$114.41
(+149%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 58.2%)
$97.25
(+111%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.90
Bull Case
$85.59
(+86%)
Analyst growth 72.9%, PE expands to 55.0
Base Case
$77.81
(+69%)
Market implied 72.9%, PE stable at 50.0
Bear Case
$30.59
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALKS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
10
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David Joseph Gaffin
SELL
2034 shares
2026-04-06
Craig C Hopkinson
SELL
9000 shares
2026-04-01
Christian Todd Nichols
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-02
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