Amplify Energy (AMPY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPY - Amplify Energy Corp.
$4.93
-0.03 (-0.60%)
âŧ
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
+12.3%
90d:
+12.56%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.48
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.40
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.93, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.39 to $5.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+57.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $5.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+57.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$4.39 -
$5.01
Company Quality Score
29/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 57.2% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 167% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.39 -
$5.01
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.66
Resistance Level
$5.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+57.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.31
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$5.73
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$6.18
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.90
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.73 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$4.60
(-7%)
Analyst growth -15.7%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$4.18
(-15%)
Market implied -15.7%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case
$3.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 9:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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