Amplify Energy (AMPY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPY - Amplify Energy Corp.
$4.36
-0.02 (-0.46%)
▼
5d:
+1.87%
30d:
-12.8%
90d:
+12.95%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When AMPY Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AMPY is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AMPY is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.54
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.44
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.36, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.32 to $4.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (9.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+77.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AMPY scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+77.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$4.32 -
$4.91
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 77.8% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 25% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.32 -
$4.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.10
Resistance Level
$4.44
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+77.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.50
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$4.64
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$4.79
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.53
Bull Case
$3.91
(-10%)
Analyst growth -18.9%, PE expands to 9.1
Base Case
$3.55
(-19%)
Market implied -18.9%, PE stable at 8.3
Bear Case
$2.98
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 11:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$235 | 64 BUY |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$126 | 68 BUY |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$60 | 61 BUY |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
27 analysts |
$146 | 60 BUY |
