Amplify Energy (AMPY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$4.07
+0.05 (+1.24%)
â˛
5d:
+22.22%
30d:
-6.44%
90d:
-15.56%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$3.74 â $4.61
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.9x
CHEAP
vs 9.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$7.75
+90.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.14 / $4.17
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AMPY is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -19.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.95
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.80
40.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.07, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.74 to $4.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 167.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+90.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $4.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+90.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.74 -
$4.61
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.74 -
$4.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$3.14
Resistance Level
$4.17
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 90.4% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.85
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+90.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.3%
Profit Margin
12.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 9.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.66
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.30
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.97
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5â9)
$5.69
(+40%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (7x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$6.40
(+57%)
Analyst growth 44.8%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$5.82
(+43%)
Market implied 44.8%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$2.73
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$7.81
(+91.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+91.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AMPY)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment on $AMPY dominates StockTwits, with traders mentioning $BATL, $EONR, $GTE, and $WTI in relation to the stock. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
$AMPY in relation to other stocks
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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