Amplify Energy (AMPY) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMPY - Amplify Energy Corp.
$4.59
0.16 (3.61%)
▲
5d:
+3.61%
30d:
+5.76%
90d:
+22.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AMPY shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.60
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMPY is currently trading at $4.59, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.27 to $4.59. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (9.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+68.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPY is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.66. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.75 (+68.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.59
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 68.8% below Wall St target ($7.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$4.27 -
$4.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.25
Resistance Level
$4.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$7.75
(+68.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
167.3%
Profit Margin
10.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.80
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$5.02
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$5.25
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.58
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.51
Bull Case
$4.11
(-11%)
Analyst growth -15.7%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$3.74
(-19%)
Market implied -15.7%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$3.01
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:32 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:32 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMPY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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