Why is ARR Down Today?

ARR
$12.43
▼ -2.66% ($-0.33)
Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 8:30 PM ET (252 min ago)

About ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc.

ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc operate in the U.S. and invest in fixed rate residential, adjustable rate and hybrid adjustable rate residential MBS issued or guaranteed by U.S. GSEs or guaranteed by Ginnie Mae. It also invest in U.S. Treasury Securities and money market instruments.

Sector: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
Market Cap: $1.74B
Forward P/E: 5.3
52-Week Range: $12.02 - $19.31
Employees: 20

Overall Confidence: 75%

75% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

OPTIONS 75% Confidence
🎯 Unusual PUT buying detected
Options traders are heavily buying puts on ARR, with 78% of volume in puts. This suggests bearish institutional positioning.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.6x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS sector: -0.8%

ARR is outperforming its sector by -1.8%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

ARR is significantly underperforming the market (-2.3% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
-0.37%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
-0.68%
ARR
This Stock
-2.66%
vs S&P 500: -2.29%
vs Nasdaq: -1.98%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, ARR is expected to trade between:
$12.06 - $12.68

Key Level to Watch

$11.81 support
Watch for breakdown below $12.43

🔔 Get ARR Alerts

We'll notify you when ARR's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Nov 10, 2026 8:30 PM (252 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.7
Put/Call Ratio
54.6%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 9,705
Put Volume: 6,776
Total: 16,481
Unusual Activity: $17 PUT (2,046 vol) $13 CALL (1,063 vol) $13 CALL (1,047 vol)

Historical Context

ARR has moved more than 3.0% down on 8 occasions in the past year.

62.5%
Continuation Rate
5/8 times continued down
+0.02%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Oct 19, 2026 (-7.0%) → Next day: +3.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is ARR stock down today?

Options traders are heavily buying puts on ARR, with 78% of volume in puts. This suggests bearish institutional positioning.

Is ARR stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, ARR shows 75% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the ARR stock price target?

ARR is currently trading at $12.43. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $12.06 - $12.68. See long-term price prediction →

Will ARR stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that ARR's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $11.81 (support).

Is ARR stock oversold or overbought?

ARR's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 37.3. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for ARR stock?

ARR's 10-day momentum indicator is at -0.26. Negative momentum - the stock has mild downward pressure which may continue short-term.

Is ARR outperforming or underperforming the market?

ARR (-2.66%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.3% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is down -0.37%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is down -0.68%.

What does MACD indicate for ARR?

ARR's MACD (-0.38) is currently above the signal line (-0.46), indicating a bullish trend. This technical signal suggests buying pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 37.2) is strong.

Is ARR in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, ARR is in a bearish trend. The price ($12.43) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($12.73) and 50-day SMA ($13.89). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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