ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$21.34
0.41 (1.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.76%
30d:
-0.7%
90d:
-10.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASIX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.05
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $21.34, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.77 to $21.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $21.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$19.77 -
$21.53
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with 7.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.77 -
$21.53
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.39
Resistance Level
$21.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.16
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
7.2 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.24
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.56
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$21.89
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.80
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 103.8%)
$215.01
(+927%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.2, Growth: 103.8%)
$70.64
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.1, Growth: 103.8%)
$60.04
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (56x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$44.62
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 62.0
Base Case
$40.56
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 56.3
Bear Case
$13.79
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 47.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 10:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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