ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$19.35
-0.13 (-0.67%)
▼
5d:
-13.35%
30d:
-11.36%
90d:
-9.03%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.05
19.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $19.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.73 to $22.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.88. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+21.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.73 -
$22.61
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($23.50)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-13.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.73 -
$22.61
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.88
Resistance Level
$22.88
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.62
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.93
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$18.72
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$19.24
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 103.8%)
$215.01
(+1011%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 103.8%)
$65.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 103.8%)
$55.51
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (54x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 53.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$42.70
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 59.3
Base Case
$38.82
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 53.9
Bear Case
$13.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 45.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 6.8
Stabilization Target:
$19.89
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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ASIX is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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