ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$20.09
0.03 (0.15%)
▲
5d:
-0.79%
30d:
-0.99%
90d:
-20.81%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.40
17.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $20.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.97 to $21.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.43, while resistance sits at $22.44.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $19.43, while resistance sits at $22.44.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+17.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$19.97 -
$21.05
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.97 -
$21.05
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.43
Resistance Level
$22.44
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.86
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
0.7%
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$20.06
(0%)
2-Year Target
$20.06
(0%)
3-Year Target
$20.06
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$20.18
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 103.8%)
$204.64
(+920%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 103.8%)
$67.70
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 103.8%)
$57.55
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 57.22 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$45.32
(+126%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 62.9
Base Case
$41.20
(+105%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 57.2
Bear Case
$14.01
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 4:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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