AdvanSix (ASIX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$16.22
0.24 (1.50%)
▲
5d:
+2.66%
30d:
-7.95%
90d:
-19.3%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ASIX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.90
18.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $16.22, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.06 to $16.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.8) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.37, while resistance sits at $16.94.
Market Sentiment: ASIX scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+23.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.37, while resistance sits at $16.94.
Market Sentiment: ASIX scores 82/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+23.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$16.06 -
$16.99
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (82/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 20% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.06 -
$16.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.37
Resistance Level
$16.94
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.80
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.8 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.17
(0%)
2-Year Target
$16.12
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$16.07
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$16.31
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 1189.2%)
$164.21
(+912%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.8, Growth: 1189.2%)
$54.74
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.8, Growth: 1189.2%)
$46.53
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.8 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.46
(+1.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 10:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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