AdvanSix (ASIX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$15.68
0.24 (1.55%)
▲
5d:
-4.97%
30d:
-5.14%
90d:
-25.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASIX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ASIX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.90
21.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $15.68, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.89 to $16.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $16.73.
Market Sentiment: ASIX scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+27.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.12, while resistance sits at $16.73.
Market Sentiment: ASIX scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+27.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$15.89 -
$16.63
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.89 -
$16.63
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.12
Resistance Level
$16.73
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.57
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.6 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.46
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$15.24
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$15.03
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$15.77
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 1189.2%)
$159.86
(+920%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 1189.2%)
$52.92
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: 1189.2%)
$44.98
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$16.46
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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