ASRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASRT - Assertio Holdings, Inc. Common Stock

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$23.50
0.02 (0.09%) ▲
5d: +0.3%
30d: +0.77%
90d: +99.66%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASRT trades at premium valuation expecting 9.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.31
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.71
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASRT is currently trading at $23.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.40 to $23.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.1) compared to its historical average (7.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASRT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $23.40 - $23.48
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 28th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.43)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.0% growth with -62.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $23.40 - $23.48
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.15 (9.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.41
Resistance Level $23.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.11
Wall Street Target $24.43 (+4.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -62.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -18.8%
Profit Margin -34.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.0% premium
PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 7.0 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.62 (+9%)
2-Year Target $27.92 (+19%)
3-Year Target $30.43 (+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→7) PE COMPRESSION $23.39 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 1:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:21 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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