Why is AVAV Down Today?

AVAV
$141.27
▼ -3.94% ($-5.57)
Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 5:32 PM ET (92 min ago)

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment Inc supplies unmanned aircraft systems, tactical missile systems, high-altitude pseudo-satellites, and other related services to government agencies within the United States Department of Defense as well as the United States allied international governments. The systems can help with s...

Sector: AIRCRAFT
Market Cap: $17.28B
Forward P/E: 70.1
52-Week Range: $135.20 - $417.86
Employees: 1,475

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SYMPATHY 60% Confidence
🎯 Outperforming sector by 4.1%
This stock is significantly underperforming its AIRCRAFT sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

✅ Move Confirmation

MODERATE VOLUME 1.3x average volume

NORMAL - This move is backed by significant volume and appears sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

AIRCRAFT sector: +0.1%

AVAV is outperforming its sector by -4.1%. This suggests a stock-specific catalyst.

Market Comparison

AVAV is significantly underperforming the market (-4.8% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.85%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.87%
AVAV
This Stock
-3.94%
vs S&P 500: -4.79%
vs Nasdaq: -4.81%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, AVAV is expected to trade between:
$137.03 - $144.09

Key Level to Watch

$134.20 support
Watch for breakdown below $141.26

🔔 Get AVAV Alerts

We'll notify you when AVAV's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Sep 11, 2026 5:32 PM (92 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Neutral
Options Sentiment
0.87
Put/Call Ratio
102.3%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 8,291
Put Volume: 7,181
Total: 15,472

Historical Context

AVAV has moved more than 3.0% down on 57 occasions in the past year.

49.1%
Continuation Rate
28/57 times continued down
+0.09%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 09, 2026 (-5.4%) → Next day: +4.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is AVAV stock down today?

This stock is significantly underperforming its AIRCRAFT sector peers, suggesting a stock-specific catalyst.

Is AVAV stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, AVAV shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is moderate which supports the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the AVAV stock price target?

AVAV is currently trading at $141.27. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $137.03 - $144.09. See long-term price prediction →

Will AVAV stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that AVAV's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $134.20 (support).

Is AVAV stock oversold or overbought?

AVAV's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 42.8. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for AVAV stock?

AVAV's 10-day momentum indicator is at -5.57. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is AVAV outperforming or underperforming the market?

AVAV (-3.94%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-4.8% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.85%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.87%.

What does MACD indicate for AVAV?

AVAV's MACD (-5.6) is currently below the signal line (-4.88), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 14.8) is weak.

Is AVAV in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, AVAV is in a bearish trend. The price ($141.27) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($154.83) and 50-day SMA ($158.34). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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