Why is AVAV Down Today?

AVAV
$139.05
▼ -2.23% ($-3.10)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 4:36 PM ET (606 min ago)

About AeroVironment, Inc.

AeroVironment Inc supplies unmanned aircraft systems, tactical missile systems, high-altitude pseudo-satellites, and other related services to government agencies within the United States Department of Defense as well as the United States allied international governments. The systems can help with s...

Sector: AIRCRAFT
Market Cap: $17.28B
Forward P/E: 70.1
52-Week Range: $135.20 - $417.86
Employees: 1,475

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 AIRCRAFT sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The AIRCRAFT sector is down 1.5% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.2x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

AIRCRAFT sector: -1.5%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most AIRCRAFT stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

AVAV is significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
AVAV
This Stock
-2.23%
vs S&P 500: -2.41%
vs Nasdaq: -2.54%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, AVAV is expected to trade between:
$134.88 - $141.83

Key Level to Watch

$132.10 support
Watch for breakdown below $139.05

🔔 Get AVAV Alerts

We'll notify you when AVAV's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 4:36 PM (606 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.32
Put/Call Ratio
95.7%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 4,263
Put Volume: 1,381
Total: 5,644

Historical Context

AVAV has moved more than 3.0% down on 59 occasions in the past year.

50.8%
Continuation Rate
30/59 times continued down
-0.01%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 28, 2026 (-3.2%) → Next day: -2.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is AVAV stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The AIRCRAFT sector is down 1.5% on average.

Is AVAV stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, AVAV shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the AVAV stock price target?

AVAV is currently trading at $139.05. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $134.88 - $141.83. See long-term price prediction →

Will AVAV stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that AVAV's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $132.10 (support).

Is AVAV stock oversold or overbought?

AVAV's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 37.6. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for AVAV stock?

AVAV's 10-day momentum indicator is at -23.07. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is AVAV outperforming or underperforming the market?

AVAV (-2.23%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for AVAV?

AVAV's MACD (-3.14) is currently below the signal line (-1.86), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 14.3) is weak.

Is AVAV in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, AVAV is in a bearish trend. The price ($139.05) is trading below both the 20-day SMA ($151.1) and 50-day SMA ($158.46). This alignment typically indicates sustained downward pressure.

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