AWR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AWR - American States Water Company
$85.05
0.54 (0.64%)
▲
5d:
+2.3%
30d:
+8.32%
90d:
+7.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
Get Alerted When AWR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AWR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: AWR is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.29
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWR is currently trading at $85.05, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.68 to $83.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $76.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $85.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $76.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.68 -
$83.42
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.1% above Wall St target ($76.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.68 -
$83.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.62
Resistance Level
$85.63
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.44
Wall Street Target
$76.50
(-10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Profit Margin
19.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$90.05
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$92.67
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.0%)
$98.42
(+16%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 5.0%)
$95.52
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 5.0%)
$81.19
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.43
Bull Case
$102.72
(+21%)
Analyst growth 10.5%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$93.38
(+10%)
Market implied 10.5%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$57.47
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 12:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:48 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Featured in Portfolios
AWR is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Water by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
WTRG
Essential Utilities Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$41 | 67 BUY |
|
CWT
California Water Service… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$52 | 63 BUY |
|
SBS
Companhia de Saneamento … |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$7 | 57 HOLD |
|
AWK
American Water Works |
SELL
13 analysts |
$138 | 63 BUY |
|
HTO
H2O America |
BUY
5 analysts |
$64 | 61 BUY |
