AWR
American States Water Company
WATER SUPPLY
American States Water (AWR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$89.56
-0.34 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
+1.07%
30d:
+8.54%
90d:
+0.94%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$82.04 – $87.86
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.6x
FAIR
vs 21.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$89.00
-0.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$83.69 / $91.93
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AWR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Get Alerted When AWR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$97.28
Based on 3.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$60.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AWR is currently trading at $89.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.04 to $87.86. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.6) compared to its historical average (21.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $91.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWR scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AWR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $91.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AWR scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$82.04 -
$87.86
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$82.04 -
$87.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$83.69
Resistance Level
$91.93
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.3% growth with 5.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 37/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.57
Wall Street Target
$89.00
(-0.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Profit Margin
20.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
23.6 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.52
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$95.57
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$98.72
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.6, Growth: 3.3%)
$98.61
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$83.09
(-7%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 3.3%)
$70.63
(-21%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.65
Bull Case
$102.95
(+15%)
Analyst growth 4.1%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$93.59
(+5%)
Market implied 4.1%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$61.13
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share AWR Analysis
Share this live AWR analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (AWR)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 2, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits user, using Stock Meadow's scoring model, ranks $AWR as the 7th best utility stock with a score of 70.
Key Retail Themes:
Stock scoring model ranking
Utility stock performance
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:24 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AWR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Water Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Water by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SBS
Companhia de Saneamento … |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$7 | 54 HOLD |
|
HTO
H2O America |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$65 | 48 HOLD |
|
CWT
California Water Service… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$54 | 38 SELL |
|
AWK
American Water Works |
SELL
13 analysts |
$141 | 33 SELL |
|
WTRG
Essential Utilities Inc |
SELL
7 analysts |
$42 | 36 SELL |
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive AWR Research Pages
