AXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$26.42
0.41 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
+5.3%
30d:
+1.89%
90d:
-6.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
30d
Get Alerted When AXR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.02
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $26.42, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.98 to $26.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$24.98 -
$26.54
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 6.4% growth expectation is conservative given 346% recent growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$24.98 -
$26.54
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.50
Resistance Level
$26.42
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.84
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
93.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
346.2%
Profit Margin
24.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 12.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.11
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$29.91
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$31.82
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.37
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$28.26
(+7%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$19.26
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: -15.6%)
$15.96
(-40%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$21.13
(-20%)
Analyst growth -26.1%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case
$19.21
(-27%)
Market implied -26.1%, PE stable at 10.8
Bear Case
$17.69
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Timothy S Mcnaney
BUY
1765 shares
2026-04-21
James H Dahl
BUY
1519 shares
2026-04-20
James H Dahl
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-17
Top Rated Real Estate - Development Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Real Estate - Development by analyst ratings.
