AXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$22.55
-0.69 (-2.97%)
▼
5d:
-2.34%
30d:
-12.73%
90d:
-19.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
Get Alerted When AXR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AXR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.41
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $22.55, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.87 to $25.89. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+15.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.87 -
$25.89
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.1% growth with -1.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.87 -
$25.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.92
Resistance Level
$26.65
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.67
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.57
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.60
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$22.62
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -15.6%)
$26.90
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: -15.6%)
$16.44
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$13.97
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$18.88
(-16%)
Analyst growth -26.1%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case
$17.16
(-24%)
Market implied -26.1%, PE stable at 9.6
Bear Case
$15.80
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 9:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Timothy S Mcnaney
BUY
1765 shares
2026-04-21
James H Dahl
BUY
1519 shares
2026-04-20
James H Dahl
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-17
Top Rated Real Estate - Development Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Real Estate - Development by analyst ratings.
