AXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$25.06
-0.14 (-0.56%)
▼
5d:
-0.32%
30d:
-2.3%
90d:
-7.77%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AXR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.28
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $25.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.00 to $25.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (12.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $24.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AXR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.00 (+19.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$25.00 -
$25.82
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.00 -
$25.82
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.70
Resistance Level
$26.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.08
Wall Street Target
$30.00
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
93.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
346.2%
Profit Margin
24.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.09
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$27.16
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$28.27
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.10
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -15.6%)
$28.26
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: -15.6%)
$18.27
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: -15.6%)
$15.53
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.46 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.41
Bull Case
$20.47
(-18%)
Analyst growth -26.1%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$18.61
(-26%)
Market implied -26.1%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$17.14
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
11
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Timothy S Mcnaney
BUY
1765 shares
2026-04-21
James H Dahl
BUY
1519 shares
2026-04-20
James H Dahl
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-17
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