AMREP (AXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$21.42
-0.03 (-0.14%)
▼
5d:
+4.39%
30d:
+3.38%
90d:
-1.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Nov 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 11, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: AXR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.28
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.11
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $21.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.25 to $21.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.0) is in line with its historical norms (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.60. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.25 -
$21.32
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($22.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.25 -
$21.32
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.33
Resistance Level
$21.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.03
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-94.3%
Profit Margin
14.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 12.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.12
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$20.82
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$20.53
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$21.33
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -15.6%)
$25.77
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: -15.6%)
$15.62
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: -15.6%)
$13.27
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$38.89
(+82%)
Analyst growth 64.8%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$35.35
(+65%)
Market implied 64.8%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$14.59
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 12.5
Stabilization Target:
$22.25
(+3.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.9%
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Last updated: November 09, 2026 8:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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