AMREP (AXR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$22.94
-0.03 (-0.13%)
âŧ
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
+3.1%
90d:
-9.36%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 15, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.41
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $22.94, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.34 to $23.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.34 -
$23.17
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -1.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.34 -
$23.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.70
Resistance Level
$24.07
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.89
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.10
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.26
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$23.43
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.90
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: -15.6%)
$26.17
(+14%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -15.6%)
$16.72
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: -15.6%)
$14.21
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$23.55
(+3%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$21.41
(-7%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$15.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 12:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Timothy S Mcnaney
BUY
1765 shares
2026-04-21
James H Dahl
BUY
1519 shares
2026-04-20
James H Dahl
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-17
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