AXR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AXR - AMREP Corporation
$23.00
-0.25 (-1.08%)
âŧ
5d:
+2.18%
30d:
-9.48%
90d:
-11.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 08, 2026
14d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: AXR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.41
Based on -5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.19
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXR is currently trading at $23.00, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.09 to $24.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXR is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXR scores 77/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $26.00 (+13.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.09 -
$24.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (77/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($26.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with -1.4% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.09 -
$24.76
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.43
Resistance Level
$23.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$26.00
(+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-68.3%
Profit Margin
19.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.18
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$23.37
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$23.56
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â13)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -15.6%)
$26.04
(+13%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: -15.6%)
$16.77
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: -15.6%)
$14.25
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.91
Bull Case
$23.83
(+4%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 13.4
Base Case
$21.67
(-6%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 12.2
Bear Case
$15.81
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AXR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
8
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Timothy S Mcnaney
BUY
1765 shares
2026-04-21
James H Dahl
BUY
1519 shares
2026-04-20
James H Dahl
BUY
1000 shares
2026-04-17
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