BBSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBSI - Barrett Business Services
$39.04
-0.93 (-2.33%)
▼
5d:
-1.77%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
+23.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBSI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.83
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $39.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $36.47 to $40.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.8% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$36.47 -
$40.31
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($42.25)
- BEARISH: Market expects 6.8% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$36.47 -
$40.31
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.36
Resistance Level
$42.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.16
Wall Street Target
$42.25
(+8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.8% premium
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 14.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.69
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$44.53
(+14%)
3-Year Target
$47.56
(+22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$39.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.6%)
$67.01
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 14.6%)
$58.70
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 14.6%)
$48.17
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.49
Bull Case
$63.44
(+63%)
Analyst growth 44.3%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$57.67
(+48%)
Market implied 44.3%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$27.18
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBSI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
James R Potts
SELL
1803 shares
2026-03-17
Gary Kramer
BUY
8370 shares
2026-03-13
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