Barrett Business Services (BBSI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BBSI - Barrett Business Services

SERVICES-HELP SUPPLY SERVICES
$32.53
0.70 (2.18%) ▲
5d: +0.57%
30d: -0.26%
90d: -18.17%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BBSI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.40
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.54
0.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BBSI is currently trading at $32.52, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.06 to $33.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BBSI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BBSI scores 62/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.75 (+28.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $31.06 - $33.00
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (62/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 28.0% below Wall St target ($40.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 3.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $31.06 - $33.00
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.39
Resistance Level $33.02
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.72
Wall Street Target $40.75 (+28.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -25.7%
Profit Margin 2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.0% premium
PE vs Historical 15.7 vs 15.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.15 (+1%)
2-Year Target $32.47 (+2%)
3-Year Target $32.79 (+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→15) PE COMPRESSION $31.92 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 18.4%) $66.79 (+110%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 18.4%) $52.86 (+66%)
Bear: (PE: 13.4, Growth: 18.4%) $44.93 (+41%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case $53.33 (+68%)
Analyst growth 51.1%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case $48.48 (+52%)
Market implied 51.1%, PE stable at 23.9
Bear Case $21.81 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 22, 2026 2:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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