BND Vanguard Total Bond Market

Vanguard Total Bond Market (BND) ETF: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$70.65
-0.45 (-0.63%) â–ŧ
5d: -1.4% 30d: +0.36% 90d: -2.3%
Open in Live Scanner 70/30 Portfolio Builder Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$70.36 – $71.44
Position: FAIR
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$70.65 / $71.77
Trend: Strong Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: BND is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BND is currently trading at $70.65, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.36 to $71.44.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BND is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $70.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $70.36 - $71.44
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $70.36 - $71.44
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $70.65
Resistance Level $71.77
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BND)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on BND are bullish (sentiment score +0.64) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 6:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:58 PM
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