BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.30
0.49 (3.55%)
▲
5d:
+5.61%
30d:
+3.62%
90d:
+1.56%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
20d
Get Alerted When BSM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.38
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.72 to $14.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $14.17. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.72 -
$14.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.5% growth with 8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.72 -
$14.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.42
Resistance Level
$14.17
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+15.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.5%
Profit Margin
72.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.88
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$13.95
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$14.02
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$13.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.2%)
$37.91
(+175%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 15.2%)
$21.09
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.2%)
$17.92
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$13.66
(-1%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 12.0
Base Case
$12.41
(-10%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case
$9.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
30276 shares
2026-03-05
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
31 analysts |
$232 | 58 HOLD |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$127 | 48 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 59 HOLD |
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$60 | 58 HOLD |
|
COP
ConocoPhillips |
BUY
27 analysts |
$141 | 59 HOLD |
