Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.59
-0.16 (-1.08%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
-1.15%
90d:
+0.21%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
10d
Get Alerted When BSM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BSM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.40
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.59, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.51 to $14.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 49/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$14.51 -
$14.91
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (49/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with 13.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.51 -
$14.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.56
Resistance Level
$15.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.80
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Profit Margin
67.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.84
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.09
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$15.35
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â12)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$24.53
(+68%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 2.7%)
$15.81
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$13.43
(-8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$15.41
(+6%)
Analyst growth -5.0%, PE expands to 13.5
Base Case
$14.01
(-4%)
Market implied -5.0%, PE stable at 12.3
Bear Case
$10.03
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 AM
đĨ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas E&P Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas E&P by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
DVN
Devon Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$61 | 45 HOLD |
|
FANG
Diamondback Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$237 | 40 SELL |
|
EXE
Expand Energy Corporation |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$123 | 42 HOLD |
|
CTRA
Coterra Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$37 | 53 HOLD |
|
EQT
EQT Corporation |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$67 | 37 SELL |
