Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.99
0.06 (0.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.11%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
+8.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.98
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.42 to $14.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.42 -
$14.95
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 13.2% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.42 -
$14.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.51
Resistance Level
$15.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.92
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Profit Margin
67.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.33
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.69
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$16.05
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.9%)
$35.45
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 14.9%)
$22.71
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.0, Growth: 14.9%)
$19.30
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$15.88
(+6%)
Analyst growth -3.3%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$14.43
(-4%)
Market implied -3.3%, PE stable at 12.4
Bear Case
$10.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 11, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
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