BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$13.86
-0.15 (-1.07%) ▼
5d: -0.79%
30d: -0.5%
90d: -9.35%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BSM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.38
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.28
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $13.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.59 to $14.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BSM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+15.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.59 - $14.00
Company Quality Score 60/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with 8.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.59 - $14.00
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.56
Resistance Level $14.06
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.16
Wall Street Target $16.00 (+15.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -30.5%
Profit Margin 72.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.7% premium
PE vs Historical 12.2 vs 11.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.96 (+1%)
2-Year Target $14.05 (+1%)
3-Year Target $14.15 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→12) PE COMPRESSION $13.85 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.2%) $37.91 (+174%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 15.2%) $21.16 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 10.3, Growth: 15.2%) $17.99 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 10.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case $13.61 (-2%)
Analyst growth -10.2%, PE expands to 11.9
Base Case $12.38 (-11%)
Market implied -10.2%, PE stable at 10.9
Bear Case $9.38 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 4:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:57 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman SELL 29386 shares 2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman SELL 30276 shares 2026-03-05

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