Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$13.67
-0.07 (-0.51%)
▼
5d:
-8.19%
30d:
-7.88%
90d:
-5.53%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (55%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$14.41 – $14.96
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
11.9x
FAIR
vs 12.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.00
+17.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$13.42 / $14.93
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: BSM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.15
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.13
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $13.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.41 to $14.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 12/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.42. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 12/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+17.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.41 -
$14.96
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.41 -
$14.96
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$13.42
Resistance Level
$14.93
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (12/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.94
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.3%
Profit Margin
54.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 12.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.56
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.34
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$13.64
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$33.13
(+142%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$19.92
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 13.4%)
$16.93
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case
$16.97
(+24%)
Analyst growth 12.3%, PE expands to 14.8
Base Case
$15.42
(+13%)
Market implied 12.3%, PE stable at 13.5
Bear Case
$9.34
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$13.97
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (BSM)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment on $BSM dominates StockTwits with one user expressing skepticism towards recent CVNA posts. No significant news articles were identified.
Key Retail Themes:
skepticism towards recent partnership rumors
negative sentiment towards $BSM
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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