BSM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.95
0.15 (1.01%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
+9.28%
90d:
+4.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BSM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.73
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.88 to $14.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BSM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$13.88 -
$14.64
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with 8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.88 -
$14.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.22
Resistance Level
$15.02
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.67
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+7.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.5%
Profit Margin
72.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.23
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.52
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$15.82
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.98
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$36.25
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 14.0%)
$22.15
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 14.0%)
$18.83
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.27
Bull Case
$15.13
(+1%)
Analyst growth -7.1%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$13.75
(-8%)
Market implied -7.1%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$10.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 1:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
30276 shares
2026-03-05
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