Black Stone Minerals, L.P. (BSM) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BSM - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
$14.48
0.16 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
-1.43%
30d:
-2.82%
90d:
+5.0%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BSM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.05
Based on 3.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BSM is currently trading at $14.48, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.55 to $14.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.9) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BSM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BSM scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.00 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.55 -
$14.98
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
91.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($16.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 13.2% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.55 -
$14.98
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.26
Resistance Level
$14.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.87
Wall Street Target
$16.00
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.0%
Profit Margin
67.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.9 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.77
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$15.06
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$15.37
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.45
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 2.7%)
$24.89
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$15.70
(+8%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.9, Growth: 2.7%)
$13.35
(-8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.20
Bull Case
$14.77
(+2%)
Analyst growth -6.2%, PE expands to 13.1
Base Case
$13.42
(-7%)
Market implied -6.2%, PE stable at 11.9
Bear Case
$9.74
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 3:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BSM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luke Stevens Putman
SELL
29386 shares
2026-04-06
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