BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTSG - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock
$60.86
-1.50 (-2.41%)
âŧ
5d:
-2.41%
30d:
+9.11%
90d:
-16.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BTSG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: BTSG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.88
11.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTSG is currently trading at $60.86, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.86 to $62.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.7) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 196.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTSG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.94 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTSG is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.94 (+29.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$56.86 -
$62.78
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BTSG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.7% below Wall St target ($78.94)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$56.86 -
$62.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.79
Resistance Level
$65.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.71
Wall Street Target
$78.94
(+29.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
196.6%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 27.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.37
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$59.89
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$59.41
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27â27)
$60.95
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: 25.2%)
$119.37
(+96%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 25.2%)
$88.76
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 25.2%)
$75.45
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.74
Bull Case
$73.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.3
Base Case
$60.86
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$46.56
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.7 to 27.4
Stabilization Target:
$62.43
(+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL
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