Is BTSG stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BTSG is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: BTSG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of BTSG stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BTSG to be between $56.51 and $60.59. The current price is $60.25.

What is the analyst price target for BTSG?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BTSG is $78.94. This implies a potential upside of 31.0% from current levels.

BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTSG - BrightSpring Health Services, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-HOME HEALTH CARE SERVICES

$60.25

2.99 (5.22%) ▲

5d: +6.47%

30d: +0.0%

90d: -14.61%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 19, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTSG shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$110.91

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$68.87

12.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTSG is currently trading at $60.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.51 to $60.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.4) is in line with its historical norms (27.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 196.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTSG is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $60.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: BTSG scores 69/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $78.94 (+31.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH

Historical Trading Range $56.51 - $60.59

Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 81.0%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Strong technical setup (69/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.2%)
BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($78.94)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 16% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $56.51 - $60.59

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $54.87

Resistance Level $60.43

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.45

Wall Street Target $78.94 (+31.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 196.6%

Profit Margin 2.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 26.5 vs 27.4 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $59.59 (-1%)

2-Year Target $58.93 (-2%)

3-Year Target $58.28 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→27) $60.39 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.4, Growth: 25.2%) $118.17 (+96%)

Base: (SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 25.2%) $91.16 (+51%)

Bear: (PE: 17.3, Growth: 25.2%) $77.48 (+29%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Forward PE: 22.17 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.72

Bull Case $72.75 (+21%)

Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.3

Base Case $60.25 (0%)

Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.2

Bear Case $46.09 (-24%)

Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.4 to 27.4

Stabilization Target: $62.42 (+3.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.6%

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:00 AM

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