CDW (CDW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CDW - CDW Corporation

RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES
$153.79
11.19 (7.85%) ▲
5d: -0.08%
30d: +12.53%
90d: +19.1%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $152.38 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 5.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CDW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$195.82
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$121.59
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CDW is currently trading at $153.79, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.10 to $149.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.8) compared to its historical average (11.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CDW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $158.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 7.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: CDW scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $136.10 - $149.46
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 29.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+7.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($158.89)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $136.10 - $149.46
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $140.91
Resistance Level $158.05
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.77
Wall Street Target $158.89 (+3.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 4.9%
Profit Margin 4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 12.8 vs 11.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $158.56 (+3%)
2-Year Target $163.47 (+6%)
3-Year Target $168.54 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $153.15 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.0%) $323.40 (+110%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.0%) $204.68 (+33%)
Bear: (PE: 10.9, Growth: 10.0%) $173.97 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.33
Bull Case $226.86 (+48%)
Analyst growth 44.6%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case $206.24 (+34%)
Market implied 44.6%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case $96.97 (-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:30 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CDW Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CDW price and gamma walls.

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