Why is CF Down Today?

CF
$112.63
▼ -2.23% ($-2.51)
Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:35 PM ET (905 min ago)

About CF Industries Holding, Inc.

CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility...

Sector: AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS
Market Cap: $14.00B
Forward P/E: 11.1
52-Week Range: $75.42 - $141.96
Employees: 2,800

Overall Confidence: 65%

65% Confident

Based on news, social sentiment, options activity, and sector analysis

SECTOR 65% Confidence
🎯 AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS sector moving together
This appears to be a sector-wide move. The AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS sector is down 2.1% on average.

✅ Move Confirmation

LOW VOLUME 0.2x average volume

UNCONFIRMED - Low volume suggests this move may not be sustainable.

📍 Sector Context

AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS sector: -2.1%

This appears to be a sector-wide move. Most AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS stocks are moving in the same direction.

Market Comparison

CF is significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY)
S&P 500
SPY
+0.18%
Nasdaq 100
QQQ
+0.31%
CF
This Stock
-2.23%
vs S&P 500: -2.41%
vs Nasdaq: -2.54%

📊 What Happens Next?

Probability Analysis

45% chance this move continues in the next 1-3 days

Expected Range

Based on historical patterns and options pricing, CF is expected to trade between:
$109.25 - $114.88

Key Level to Watch

$107.00 support
Watch for breakdown below $112.63

🔔 Get CF Alerts

We'll notify you when CF's trend changes or a new signal fires.

Last updated: Oct 01, 2026 3:35 PM (905 minutes ago)
Data refreshes every 30 minutes during market hours

Options Market Insight

Bullish
Options Sentiment
0.15
Put/Call Ratio
81.2%
Implied Volatility
Call Volume: 9,565
Put Volume: 1,449
Total: 11,014
Unusual Activity: $150 CALL (2,342 vol) $150 CALL (2,307 vol) $150 CALL (1,965 vol)

Historical Context

CF has moved more than 3.0% down on 28 occasions in the past year.

46.4%
Continuation Rate
13/28 times continued down
+0.21%
Avg Next Day Change
After similar down moves
Last similar move: Sep 25, 2026 (-3.2%) → Next day: +0.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is CF stock down today?

This appears to be a sector-wide move. The AGRICULTURAL CHEMICALS sector is down 2.1% on average.

Is CF stock a buy or sell right now?

Based on current analysis, CF shows 65% confidence in today's move. Volume is low which does not confirm the trend. View full buy/sell analysis →

What is the CF stock price target?

CF is currently trading at $112.63. Based on today's momentum, the expected short-term range is $109.25 - $114.88. See long-term price prediction →

Will CF stock continue falling?

Our analysis shows a 45% probability that CF's move continues in the next 1-3 days. Key level to watch: $107.00 (support).

Is CF stock oversold or overbought?

CF's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 34.8. This shows bearish momentum - the stock has negative momentum but isn't oversold yet.

What is the momentum for CF stock?

CF's 10-day momentum indicator is at -19.28. Strong bearish momentum - the stock is experiencing significant downward pressure. Watch for potential reversal signals.

Is CF outperforming or underperforming the market?

CF (-2.23%) is currently significantly underperforming the market (-2.4% vs SPY). Today, the S&P 500 (SPY) is up 0.18%, and Nasdaq (QQQ) is up 0.31%.

What does MACD indicate for CF?

CF's MACD (-3.31) is currently below the signal line (-1.33), indicating a bearish trend. This technical signal suggests selling pressure is dominant. The trend strength (ADX: 28.6) is strong.

Is CF in an uptrend or downtrend?

Based on moving average analysis, CF is in a mixed/transitional trend. The price and moving averages are not clearly aligned, suggesting a potential trend change or consolidation phase. 20-day SMA: $126.53, 50-day SMA: $124.65.

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