CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$143.66
-4.19 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
+0.55%
30d:
+3.83%
90d:
-0.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHRD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: CHRD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$86.36
Based on -11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$53.62
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $143.66, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $130.91 to $143.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $132.84, while resistance sits at $153.00.
Market Sentiment: CHRD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.47 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $132.84, while resistance sits at $153.00.
Market Sentiment: CHRD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.47 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$130.91 -
$143.20
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($167.47)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$130.91 -
$143.20
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.84
Resistance Level
$153.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$167.47
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
84.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 12.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.49
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$135.41
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$129.59
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$148.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -27.7%)
$202.72
(+37%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: -27.7%)
$107.78
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: -27.7%)
$91.62
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.99 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.90
Bull Case
$152.21
(+3%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$138.38
(-6%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$101.19
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.2
Stabilization Target:
$169.03
(+14.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 11:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:42 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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