CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$119.93
-4.51 (-3.62%) ▼
5d: -5.35%
30d: -16.7%
90d: -12.45%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.15
Based on -11.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.26
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $119.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.33 to $142.92. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $117.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: CHRD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $176.00 (+46.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $127.33 - $142.92
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 46.8% below Wall St target ($176.00)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $127.33 - $142.92
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $117.15
Resistance Level $141.22
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 24, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.51
Wall Street Target $176.00 (+46.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -48.2%
Profit Margin -1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.5 vs 13.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $107.94 (-10%)
2-Year Target $97.14 (-19%)
3-Year Target $87.43 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→13) $153.59 (+28%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -26.1%) $253.43 (+111%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: -26.1%) $87.43 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.4, Growth: -26.1%) $74.31 (-38%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 13.2
Stabilization Target: $210.69 (+75.7%)
PE Expansion Potential: +75.7%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 6:22 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou SELL 15000 shares 2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks SELL 2126 shares 2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll SELL 5000 shares 2026-03-03

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