CHRD Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS Best Oil & Gas Stocks 2026 →

Chord Energy (CHRD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$147.05
+3.59 (+2.50%) ▲
5d: +11.02% 30d: +0.6% 90d: +7.09%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$138.56 – $153.58
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.0x CHEAP
vs 11.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$182.75
+24.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$131.01 / $157.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: CHRD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -14.8% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$192.05
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$119.25
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $147.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $138.56 to $153.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $131.01, while resistance sits at $157.06.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $182.75 (+24.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $138.56 - $153.58
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $138.56 - $153.58
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $131.01
Resistance Level $157.07
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($182.75)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.04
Wall Street Target $182.75 (+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 29.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 45.6%
Profit Margin 14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.0 vs 11.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $132.35 (-10%)
2-Year Target $119.11 (-19%)
3-Year Target $107.20 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→11) $173.68 (+18%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -12.1%) $302.57 (+106%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: -12.1%) $107.20 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 6.0, Growth: -12.1%) $91.12 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.93
Bull Case $207.03 (+41%)
Analyst growth 31.2%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case $188.20 (+28%)
Market implied 31.2%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case $97.55 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 11.4
Stabilization Target: $238.24 (+62.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +62.0%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (CHRD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Halliburton Company (HAL) has gained YTD, outperforming the Oil and Gas - Field Services sub-industry but lagging the broader Oil-Energy sector. The company's strong third-quarter results, expanded drilling activity, and international growth prospects have attracted investor interest.
Key Retail Themes: Halliburton's expanding international operations Strong third-quarter results and growing investor interest
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive CHRD Research Pages
CHRD Technical Chart CHRD Price Prediction CHRD Intrinsic Value DCF CHRD Earnings Date Why is CHRD Moving Today? CHRD Investment Advisor CHRD Fair Price Analyzer CHRD Competitors
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