CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$139.33
-1.05 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
+5.71%
30d:
+22.95%
90d:
-3.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.44
Based on -10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $139.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $116.23 to $135.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (12.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.67 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $141.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $165.67 (+18.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$116.23 -
$135.38
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($165.67)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$116.23 -
$135.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$128.10
Resistance Level
$141.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.46
Wall Street Target
$165.67
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.35
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$116.40
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$106.39
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$139.43
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: -25.0%)
$222.54
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: -25.0%)
$101.57
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: -25.0%)
$86.34
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 12.4
Stabilization Target:
$182.60
(+31.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+31.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 3:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:43 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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