Chord Energy (CHRD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$137.01
0.16 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.54%
30d:
-8.4%
90d:
+22.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CHRD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.63
Based on -9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $137.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $137.56 to $150.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.6) compared to its historical average (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $132.69, while resistance sits at $143.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.12 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $132.69, while resistance sits at $143.29.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 51/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $173.12 (+26.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$137.56 -
$150.16
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (51/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.4% below Wall St target ($173.12)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (51/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$137.56 -
$150.16
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$132.69
Resistance Level
$143.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.60
Wall Street Target
$173.13
(+26.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
84.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 11.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.31
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$110.98
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$99.88
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$138.25
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: -22.5%)
$237.00
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: -22.5%)
$99.88
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -22.5%)
$84.90
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $14.80
Bull Case
$162.10
(+18%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$147.36
(+8%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$93.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$189.65
(+38.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+38.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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