CHRD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CHRD - Chord Energy Corporation Common Stock
$121.99
-0.37 (-0.30%)
▼
5d:
+4.41%
30d:
-8.79%
90d:
-9.48%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CHRD trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -12.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.93
Based on -11.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CHRD is currently trading at $121.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $115.51 to $132.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (12.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.80 (+38.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CHRD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CHRD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $168.80 (+38.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$115.51 -
$132.78
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($168.80)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$115.51 -
$132.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$111.25
Resistance Level
$123.29
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 10, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.54
Wall Street Target
$168.80
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
38.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
-1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 12.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$109.79
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$98.81
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$88.93
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→13)
$132.26
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -26.6%)
$226.83
(+86%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: -26.6%)
$88.93
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: -26.6%)
$75.59
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.5 to 12.7
Stabilization Target:
$181.43
(+48.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 8:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CHRD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael H Lou
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-12
Douglas E Brooks
SELL
2126 shares
2026-03-06
Lara J Kroll
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-03
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